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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Kos

Lech Poznan

S S S U U

1–0

Full-time

Legnica

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Legnica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 31%

44%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

44%

61%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 4. · Legnica 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	19	14	3	2	+24	45
2	Legia	19	11	5	3	+7	38
3	Widzew Lodz	19	9	4	6	+5	31
4	Lech Poznan	18	8	6	4	+5	30
5	Pogon Szczecin	18	8	6	4	+4	30
6	Cracovia	18	8	4	6	+8	28
7	Wisla Plock	18	8	4	6	+4	28
8	Stal Mielec	19	8	4	7	+2	28
9	Radomiak Radom	19	8	3	8	-1	27
10	Warta Poznan	18	7	5	6	+2	26
11	Gornik Zabrze	19	5	6	8	-4	21
12	Slask Wroclaw	18	5	6	7	-8	21
13	Lechia Gdansk	19	6	3	10	-11	21
14	Jagiellonia	19	4	8	7	-1	20
15	Zaglebie	19	5	5	9	-12	20
16	Piast Gliwice	19	4	5	10	-5	17
17	Legnica	18	3	5	10	-9	14
18	Korona Kielce	18	3	4	11	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	10	9	1	0	+19	28
2	Legia	9	7	2	0	+9	23
3	Wisla Plock	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Cracovia	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	Stal Mielec	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Widzew Lodz	10	4	3	3	+3	15
7	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	+3	15
8	Jagiellonia	9	4	1	4	+3	13
9	Radomiak Radom	10	4	1	5	-1	13
10	Lech Poznan	9	4	1	4	-1	13
11	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-3	13
12	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	2	4	-6	11
13	Legnica	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Gornik Zabrze	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Piast Gliwice	9	2	2	5	-1	8
16	Warta Poznan	9	1	4	4	-5	7
17	Zaglebie	10	1	4	5	-7	7
18	Korona Kielce	8	1	2	5	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Lech Poznan	9	4	5	0	+6	17
3	Rakow	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	Widzew Lodz	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Pogon Szczecin	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	Legia	10	4	3	3	-2	15
7	Radomiak Radom	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Stal Mielec	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	-5	13
10	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Cracovia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	1	6	-5	10
13	Piast Gliwice	10	2	3	5	-4	9
14	Wisla Plock	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Korona Kielce	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Jagiellonia	10	0	7	3	-4	7
18	Legnica	8	1	1	6	-5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.