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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Gornik Zabrze
S S T S S
1–3
Full-time
Stal Mielec
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Stal Mielec
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 8. · Stal Mielec 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Legia 5 3 1 1 +2 10
3 Cracovia 5 3 0 2 +4 9
4 Pogon Szczecin 4 3 0 1 +2 9
5 Zaglebie 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Stal Mielec 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Korona Kielce 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Rakow 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Slask Wroclaw 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Radomiak Radom 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Widzew Lodz 5 1 1 3 -1 4
13 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 -2 3
14 Lechia Gdansk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Piast Gliwice 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Warta Poznan 4 1 0 3 -5 3
17 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Legnica 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Stal Mielec
1–0 P. Olkowski
Ł. Podolski
13′
42′
S. Hamulic 1–1
M. Lebedyński
Szymon Włodarczyk 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
46′
M. Domański 1–2
S. Hamulic
Rafał Janicki 🟨
47′
48′
M. Domański 1–3
M. Cholewiak 🔁
↦ Dani Pacheco
56′
P. Krawczyk 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
56′
66′
🔁 M. Mak
↦ M. Lebedyński
67′
🟨 Bartosz Mrozek
D. Stalmach 🔁
↦ J. Kotzke
69′
K. Kubica 🔁
↦ A. Manneh
69′
79′
🔁 K. Kruk
↦ A. Kasperkiewicz
80′
🔁 F. Hiszpański
↦ S. Hamulic
R. Dadok 🔁
↦ P. Olkowski
82′
Kevin Broll 🟥
85′
88′
🔁 P. Żyra
↦ M. Domański
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-2-1
32 K. Broll G
4 A. Paluszek D
26 R. Janicki D
3 R. Jensen D
16 P. Olkowski M
25 J. Kotzke M
8 A. Manneh M
64 E. Janža M
7 Dani Pacheco F
10 Ł. Podolski F
20 S. Włodarczyk F
Bench (9)
11 M. Cholewiak
21 P. Krawczyk
22 D. Stalmach
6 K. Kubica
96 R. Dadok
1 D. Bielica
77 J. Szymański
24 K. Kolanko
23 J. Jules

Coach: B. Gaul

Stal Mielec

3-5-2
41 B. Mrozek G
26 A. Kasperkiewicz D
21 M. Matras D
22 D. Barauskas D
24 M. Wolski M
32 F. Gerbowski M
18 P. Wlazło M
7 M. Domański M
23 K. Getinger M
11 M. Lebedyński F
99 S. Hamulic F
Bench (8)
10 M. Mak
74 K. Kruk
17 F. Hiszpański
16 P. Żyra
6 Leândro
88 A. Soboń
1 M. Kochalski
25 P. Maj

Coach: A. Majewski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.