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Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

U S U T U

4–0

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

43%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

54%

32%

Both score Ø 54%

64%

43%

Average goals

2,8

1,9

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznan 5. · Pogon Szczecin 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	28	18	3	7	+31	57
2	Piast Gliwice	29	15	5	9	+8	50
3	Cracovia	29	14	3	12	+10	45
4	Pogon Szczecin	28	12	8	8	+2	44
5	Lech Poznan	28	11	10	7	+19	43
6	Slask Wroclaw	28	11	10	7	+4	43
7	Lechia Gdansk	29	11	9	9	-2	42
8	Jagiellonia	28	11	8	9	+1	41
9	Gornik Zabrze	29	9	11	9	-1	38
10	Rakow	28	11	5	12	-5	38
11	Zaglebie	28	10	7	11	+4	37
12	Wisla Plock	28	10	7	11	-12	37
13	Wisla	28	9	4	15	-11	31
14	Korona Kielce	28	8	5	15	-13	29
15	Arka Gdynia	28	7	7	14	-15	28
16	LKS Lodz	28	5	6	17	-20	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Piast Gliwice	15	10	3	2	+12	33
2	Legia	14	10	1	3	+25	31
3	Gornik Zabrze	14	8	5	1	+13	29
4	Cracovia	14	9	1	4	+11	28
5	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	6	1	+5	27
6	Jagiellonia	14	7	4	3	+9	25
7	Lech Poznan	14	7	3	4	+16	24
8	Rakow	14	7	3	4	+4	24
9	Zaglebie	14	6	5	3	+9	23
10	Lechia Gdansk	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	3	5	+1	21
12	Wisla Plock	14	6	3	5	+0	21
13	Wisla	14	6	2	6	+6	20
14	Arka Gdynia	14	4	6	4	-2	18
15	Korona Kielce	14	5	2	7	-1	17
16	LKS Lodz	14	4	3	7	-3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	14	8	2	4	+6	26
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
3	Lechia Gdansk	14	5	5	4	-2	20
4	Lech Poznan	14	4	7	3	+3	19
5	Cracovia	15	5	2	8	-1	17
6	Piast Gliwice	14	5	2	7	-4	17
7	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	4	6	-1	16
8	Jagiellonia	14	4	4	6	-8	16
9	Wisla Plock	14	4	4	6	-12	16
10	Zaglebie	14	4	2	8	-5	14
11	Rakow	14	4	2	8	-9	14
12	Korona Kielce	14	3	3	8	-12	12
13	Wisla	14	3	2	9	-17	11
14	Arka Gdynia	14	3	1	10	-13	10
15	Gornik Zabrze	15	1	6	8	-14	9
16	LKS Lodz	14	1	3	10	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.