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Ekstraklasa
2–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 55%
44%
65%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
31%
41%
Both score Ø 49%
56%
41%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Radomiak Radom 5. · Lech Poznan 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 17 11 5 1 +24 38
2 Pogon Szczecin 17 10 5 2 +19 35
3 Lechia Gdansk 17 9 6 2 +12 33
4 Rakow 17 9 5 3 +10 32
5 Radomiak Radom 16 7 7 2 +8 28
6 Stal Mielec 18 7 6 5 +0 27
7 Slask Wroclaw 17 6 6 5 +3 24
8 Gornik Zabrze 16 7 3 6 +1 24
9 Wisla Plock 17 7 2 8 +1 23
10 Cracovia 17 6 5 6 -1 23
11 Piast Gliwice 17 6 3 8 +0 21
12 Jagiellonia 17 5 6 6 -3 21
13 Wisla 17 5 3 9 -11 18
14 Zaglebie 16 5 2 9 -12 17
15 Nieciecza 17 2 6 9 -9 12
16 Legia 15 4 0 11 -11 12
17 Warta Poznan 17 2 6 9 -11 12
18 Leczna 17 2 6 9 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.