Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Piast Gliwice
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 24 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 24 |
| 3 |
Cracovia
|
13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |
Wisla Plock
|
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 22 |
| 5 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 21 |
| 6 |
Jagiellonia
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 7 |
Legia
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |
Lech Poznan
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 9 |
Zaglebie
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |
Rakow
|
13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |
LKS Lodz
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |
Arka Gdynia
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 |
Korona Kielce
|
13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Arka Gdynia
Rakow
Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
Wisla
Wisla Plock
Legia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.