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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

S T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 39%

35%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 55%

48%

61%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 10. · Lech Poznan 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	23	14	3	6	+26	45
2	Cracovia	23	13	3	7	+14	42
3	Pogon Szczecin	23	11	7	5	+7	40
4	Slask Wroclaw	23	10	9	4	+7	39
5	Lech Poznan	23	10	7	6	+17	37
6	Piast Gliwice	24	11	4	9	+1	37
7	Lechia Gdansk	23	9	7	7	+0	34
8	Rakow	24	10	2	12	-7	32
9	Wisla Plock	23	9	5	9	-8	32
10	Jagiellonia	23	8	6	9	-2	30
11	Zaglebie	23	8	5	10	+0	29
12	Gornik Zabrze	23	6	9	8	-2	27
13	Wisla	23	8	2	13	-7	26
14	Arka Gdynia	23	6	6	11	-13	24
15	Korona Kielce	23	6	5	12	-14	23
16	LKS Lodz	23	4	4	15	-19	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	12	9	1	2	+25	28
2	Cracovia	12	9	1	2	+14	28
3	Piast Gliwice	12	8	2	2	+7	26
4	Slask Wroclaw	12	6	5	1	+4	23
5	Gornik Zabrze	11	6	4	1	+10	22
6	Rakow	12	7	1	4	+4	22
7	Lech Poznan	12	6	3	3	+14	21
8	Wisla Plock	12	6	3	3	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	11	6	2	3	+8	20
10	Lechia Gdansk	12	5	4	3	+3	19
11	Wisla	11	6	0	5	+8	18
12	Zaglebie	11	5	3	3	+7	18
13	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	3	3	+4	18
14	Korona Kielce	11	4	2	5	+0	14
15	Arka Gdynia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
16	LKS Lodz	12	3	3	6	-3	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	12	6	4	2	+3	22
2	Legia	11	5	2	4	+1	17
3	Lech Poznan	11	4	4	3	+3	16
4	Slask Wroclaw	11	4	4	3	+3	16
5	Lechia Gdansk	11	4	3	4	-3	15
6	Cracovia	11	4	2	5	+0	14
7	Piast Gliwice	12	3	2	7	-6	11
8	Zaglebie	12	3	2	7	-7	11
9	Wisla Plock	11	3	2	6	-13	11
10	Jagiellonia	12	2	4	6	-10	10
11	Rakow	12	3	1	8	-11	10
12	Arka Gdynia	12	3	1	8	-11	10
13	Korona Kielce	12	2	3	7	-14	9
14	Wisla	12	2	2	8	-15	8
15	Gornik Zabrze	12	0	5	7	-12	5
16	LKS Lodz	11	1	1	9	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.