Allsvenskan
Referee: Joakim Sars
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Orgryte
Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 0–0
42%
Possession
58%
15
Shots
19
7
Shots on target
6
4
Blocked shots
6
5
Goalkeeper saves
6
5
Corners
10
1
Offside
3
10
Free kicks against
10
1
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
Match report
Orgryte
Malmo FF
🟨
Noah Åstrand John
Daniel Paulson
🟨
Half-time 0–0
🔁
T. Lundbergh
↦ N. Astrand John
1–0 A. Andreasson
⚽
M. Dyrestam
🔁
K. Busuladzic
↦ Y. Karabelyov
🔁
O. Sjostrand
↦ A. Sigurdsson
R. Alm
🔁
↦ W. Hofvander
🔁
S. Haksabanovic
↦ A. Christiansen
⚽
E. Botheim
1–1
🟨
Theodor Lundbergh
🟨
Otto Rosengren
W. Svensson
🔁
↦ A. Andreasson
D. Hodzic
🔁
↦ N. Christoffersson
J. Tibbling
🔁
↦ B. Laturnus
🟨
Pontus Jansson
🔁
J. Stryger
↦ J. Karlsson
S. Lagerlund
🔁
↦ C. Styffe
Full-time 1–1
Line-ups
Orgryte
3-4-3
44
H. Gustafsson
G
H. Gustafsson
G
5
C. Styffe
D
C. Styffe
D
6
M. Dyrestam
D
M. Dyrestam
D
2
M. Parker
D
M. Parker
D
14
D. Paulson
M
D. Paulson
M
23
O. Parker-Price
M
O. Parker-Price
M
8
B. Laturnus
M
B. Laturnus
M
19
A. Andreasson
M
A. Andreasson
M
17
W. Hofvander
F
W. Hofvander
F
11
N. Christoffersson
F
N. Christoffersson
F
22
T. Sana
F
T. Sana
F
Bench (9)
34
A. Rahm
21
W. Kenndal
24
W. Svensson
33
S. Lagerlund
25
D. Hodzic
10
R. Alm
15
J. Tibbling
16
H. Dahlqvist
29
M. Ebietomere
Coach: Andreas Holmberg
Malmo FF
4-2-3-1
1
R. Olsen
G
R. Olsen
G
2
J. Karlsson
D
J. Karlsson
D
18
P. Jansson
D
P. Jansson
D
19
C. Rosler
D
C. Rosler
D
23
N. Astrand John
D
N. Astrand John
D
7
O. Rosengren
M
O. Rosengren
M
6
Y. Karabelyov
M
Y. Karabelyov
M
22
T. Ali
M
T. Ali
M
10
A. Christiansen
M
A. Christiansen
M
8
A. Sigurdsson
M
A. Sigurdsson
M
20
E. Botheim
F
E. Botheim
F
Bench (9)
27
J. Dahlin
5
A. Djuric
40
K. Busuladzic
24
O. Sjostrand
17
J. Stryger
29
S. Haksabanovic
32
D. T. Gudjohnsen
37
A. Skogmar
47
T. Lundbergh
Coach: Endika Gavina
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.