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Allsvenskan

Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Varnamo

T T U U T

1–1

Full-time

Oster

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Oster

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 45%

70%

20%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,53 xG 1,15

39% Possession 61%

15 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 16. · Oster 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	11	8	2	1	+14	+0.7	26
2	AIK	11	6	5	0	+7	+1.0	23
3	Elfsborg	10	7	1	2	+9	+5.8	22
4	Hammarby	11	6	3	2	+11	+7.4	21
5	Malmo FF	11	5	4	2	+7	+7.0	19
6	Hacken	10	4	2	4	-1	+2.0	14
7	Norrkoping	10	4	1	5	+0	-4.1	13
8	Degerfors	10	4	1	5	-3	-0.7	13
9	Goteborg	10	4	1	5	-3	+1.7	13
10	GAIS	10	2	6	2	+1	+1.0	12
11	Djurgarden	9	3	2	4	-6	-1.5	11
12	Brommapojkarna	9	3	1	5	-2	+0.4	10
13	Halmstad	10	3	1	6	-12	-7.7	10
14	Sirius	10	2	3	5	-4	-3.7	9
15	Oster	10	2	1	7	-7	-5.7	7
16	Varnamo	10	0	2	8	-11	-3.7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	6	5	1	0	+10	+2.8	16
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+8	+6.6	13
3	Mjallby	5	4	1	0	+7	+1.4	13
4	Malmo FF	6	3	2	1	+5	+4.6	11
5	AIK	5	3	2	0	+4	+1.9	11
6	Hacken	6	2	2	2	+0	+3.3	8
7	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.3	6
8	Halmstad	5	2	0	3	-6	-4.2	6
9	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.2	5
10	Djurgarden	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.7	5
11	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-2	+3.0	4
12	Sirius	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.0	4
13	Oster	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.1	4
14	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.1	4
15	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-5	-1.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	6	4	1	1	+7	-0.7	13
2	AIK	6	3	3	0	+3	-1.0	12
3	Degerfors	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.5	9
4	Goteborg	5	3	0	2	-1	-1.2	9
5	Hammarby	5	2	2	1	+3	+0.8	8
6	Malmo FF	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.4	8
7	Norrkoping	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.4	7
8	Brommapojkarna	6	2	1	3	+0	-0.1	7
9	GAIS	6	1	4	1	+0	+0.8	7
10	Hacken	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.3	6
11	Elfsborg	4	2	0	2	-1	+3.0	6
12	Djurgarden	4	2	0	2	-4	+0.2	6
13	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.7	5
14	Halmstad	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.5	4
15	Oster	5	1	0	4	-4	-2.5	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.