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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ladebäck
Malmo FF
S S S U T
5–0
Full-time
Degerfors
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 54%
80%
27%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
70%
73%
Both score Ø 57%
40%
73%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,9
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

75% Possession 25%
28 Shots 2
13 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 3. · Degerfors 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elfsborg 11 8 2 1 +17 26
2 Hacken 12 8 1 3 +18 25
3 Malmo FF 10 8 1 1 +14 25
4 Djurgarden 12 6 2 4 +2 20
5 Brommapojkarna 11 6 1 4 +1 19
6 Kalmar 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Norrkoping 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Halmstad 11 5 1 5 -5 16
9 Mjallby 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Hammarby 12 3 4 5 -5 13
11 Varnamo 11 4 0 7 -4 12
12 Sirius 11 2 5 4 -5 11
13 Degerfors 11 3 2 6 -14 11
14 Goteborg 11 1 4 6 -3 7
15 AIK 11 1 4 6 -7 7
16 Varberg 11 0 5 6 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Degerfors
1–0 H. Larsson
17′
Derek Cornelius 🟨
20′
M. Olsson 🔁
↦ D. Cornelius
25′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Gwargis
↦ D. Pavlović
2–0 S. Nanasi
S. Vecchia
54′
3–0 S. Nanasi
T. Ali
62′
4–0 S. Vecchia
T. Ali
68′
70′
🔁 D. Ilunga
↦ J. Salmon
70′
🔁 G. Lindgren
↦ D. Campos
P. Sejdiu 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
73′
O. Lewicki 🔁
↦ S. Peña
73′
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ T. Ali
73′
5–0 Busanello
75′
D. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ H. Larsson
82′
84′
🔁 O. Wallin
↦ J. Gyau
89′
🔁 J. Bichis
↦ D. Vukojević
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
24 L. Nielsen D
4 N. Moisander D
19 D. Cornelius D
25 Busanello D
8 S. Peña M
38 H. Bolin M
31 H. Larsson M
22 T. Ali F
21 S. Vecchia F
11 S. Nanasi F
Bench (9)
13 M. Olsson
36 P. Sejdiu
6 O. Lewicki
5 S. Rieks
32 D. Guðjohnsen
15 J. Ceesay
20 M. Zeidan
7 M. Siby
30 I. Diawara

Coach: H. Rydström

Degerfors

3-4-3
25 J. Olsson G
2 G. Granath D
7 S. Ohlsson D
3 K. Mammar D
20 E. Bouzaiene M
47 D. Pavlović M
22 J. Salmon M
5 J. Gyau M
16 R. Örqvist F
10 D. Vukojević F
8 D. Campos F
Bench (9)
21 P. Gwargis
24 D. Ilunga
9 G. Lindgren
6 O. Wallin
19 J. Bichis
12 E. Lindell
1 S. Rossbach
23 A. Hedén Lindskog
18 A. Mörfelt

Coach: T. Solberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.