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Svenska Cupen

Referee: P Melin

Karlshamn

0–1

Full-time

Varberg

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlshamn Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	United Nordic	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	IFK Luleå	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
5	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
6	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Karlshamn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Lucksta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Ostersunds FK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Oster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Gefle IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
54	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
61	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
62	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
63	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
92	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	IFK Luleå	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
3	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Karlshamn	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Lucksta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
47	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Helsingborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Sundsvall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Utsikten	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ostersunds FK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Oster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Gefle IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.