Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Goteborg
Kalmar
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Djurgarden
|
21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | +20 | 44 |
| 2 |
Malmo FF
|
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +21 | 41 |
| 3 |
AIK
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 41 |
| 4 |
Norrkoping
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | +12 | 36 |
| 5 |
Elfsborg
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | +9 | 36 |
| 6 |
Hammarby
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |
Kalmar
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 31 |
| 8 |
Varberg
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 |
Sirius
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 26 |
| 10 |
Hacken
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | +0 | 25 |
| 11 |
Goteborg
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 |
Mjallby
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 |
Halmstad
|
20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 |
Degerfors
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Orebro | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -27 | 16 |
| 16 | Ostersunds | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -18 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hammarby
Goteborg
AIK
Goteborg
Goteborg
Halmstad
Hacken
Goteborg
Goteborg
Varberg
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.