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Premier League

Referee: M Dean

Newcastle

S T T U T

1–1

Full-time

Leeds

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

4,3

3,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

3,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%

17 Shots 22

7 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 4

9 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Newcastle 19. · Leeds 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Liverpool	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Chelsea	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Everton	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	Man City	4	3	0	1	+10	9
6	Brighton	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Tottenham	4	3	0	1	+0	9
8	West Ham	4	2	2	0	+5	8
9	Leicester	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Brentford	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Aston Villa	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Wolves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Southampton	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Watford	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Arsenal	4	1	0	3	-8	3
17	Leeds	4	0	2	2	-7	2
18	Burnley	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Newcastle	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Norwich	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Man United	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Chelsea	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Everton	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	West Ham	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Crystal Palace	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Aston Villa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Brentford	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Watford	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Southampton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	West Ham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Everton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Man United	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Man City	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leicester	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Brentford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Watford	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Arsenal	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.