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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Brondby

T S S T U

0–2

Full-time

Aarhus

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 49%

40%

57%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

53%

Both score Ø 55%

37%

73%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,58 xG 0,59

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brondby 7. · Aarhus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	30	17	10	3	+24	+21.5	61
2	Midtjylland	31	16	12	3	+37	+6.4	60
3	FC Copenhagen	31	14	6	11	+18	+24.1	48
4	Nordsjaelland	31	14	5	12	+2	-0.6	47
5	Viborg	31	13	5	13	+2	-2.5	44
6	Sonderjyske	31	12	8	11	-2	-5.8	44
7	Brondby	30	12	6	12	+10	+10.7	42
8	Odense	30	11	7	12	-8	+5.7	40
9	Silkeborg	31	10	6	15	-23	-23.4	36
10	Randers FC	30	9	7	14	-9	+7.5	34
11	Fredericia	31	8	7	16	-26	-25.6	31
12	Vejle	31	4	9	18	-25	-18.0	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	15	9	4	2	+13	+17.7	31
2	Midtjylland	15	8	6	1	+20	+6.9	30
3	Nordsjaelland	16	9	3	4	+12	+11.3	30
4	Sonderjyske	15	8	3	4	+8	+1.8	27
5	Odense	15	7	3	5	-1	+9.0	24
6	Viborg	16	7	2	7	+2	-4.7	23
7	FC Copenhagen	15	6	4	5	+9	+19.4	22
8	Brondby	15	6	4	5	+9	+6.7	22
9	Silkeborg	16	5	4	7	-8	-5.5	19
10	Randers FC	15	5	3	7	-6	+2.4	18
11	Vejle	16	4	4	8	-4	-3.1	16
12	Fredericia	15	3	4	8	-16	-6.8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	16	8	6	2	+17	-0.5	30
2	Aarhus	15	8	6	1	+11	+3.8	30
3	FC Copenhagen	16	8	2	6	+9	+4.7	26
4	Viborg	15	6	3	6	+0	+2.2	21
5	Brondby	15	6	2	7	+1	+4.0	20
6	Fredericia	16	5	3	8	-10	-18.7	18
7	Sonderjyske	16	4	5	7	-10	-7.6	17
8	Nordsjaelland	15	5	2	8	-10	-11.9	17
9	Silkeborg	15	5	2	8	-15	-17.9	17
10	Randers FC	15	4	4	7	-3	+5.1	16
11	Odense	15	4	4	7	-7	-3.3	16
12	Vejle	15	0	5	10	-21	-14.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.