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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Lugano

U S S S S

1–2

Full-time

St. Gallen

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 51%

51%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 66%

60%

71%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,5

1,9

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,34 xG 2,94

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 3. · St. Gallen 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	35	24	2	9	+35	+4.5	74
2	St. Gallen	35	18	9	8	+22	+10.0	63
3	Lugano	35	18	9	8	+14	+1.3	63
4	Sion	35	15	13	7	+21	+14.8	58
5	Basel	35	16	8	11	+6	+11.9	56
6	Young Boys	35	13	9	13	+3	-2.6	48
7	Luzern	36	12	11	13	+6	+1.9	47
8	Servette	36	11	14	11	+4	+11.2	47
9	Lausanne	36	11	9	16	-10	+2.5	42
10	Zurich	36	11	5	20	-20	-9.2	38
11	Grasshoppers	36	6	9	21	-29	-20.0	27
12	Winterthur	36	5	8	23	-52	-26.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	2	4	+21	+2.2	38
2	Lugano	17	11	3	3	+13	+0.9	36
3	St. Gallen	18	10	2	6	+10	+13.6	32
4	Sion	17	8	6	3	+13	+8.1	30
5	Basel	18	8	6	4	+10	+19.1	30
6	Young Boys	17	8	4	5	+15	+11.0	28
7	Servette	18	6	7	5	+6	+7.0	25
8	Lausanne	18	6	5	7	+2	+10.5	23
9	Zurich	18	7	1	10	-5	-0.3	22
10	Luzern	18	4	7	7	+3	+4.1	19
11	Grasshoppers	18	3	5	10	-9	-7.9	14
12	Winterthur	18	3	5	10	-17	-4.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	17	12	0	5	+14	+2.3	36
2	St. Gallen	17	8	7	2	+12	-3.6	31
3	Sion	18	7	7	4	+8	+6.7	28
4	Luzern	18	8	4	6	+3	-2.3	28
5	Lugano	18	7	6	5	+1	+0.4	27
6	Basel	17	8	2	7	-4	-7.2	26
7	Servette	18	5	7	6	-2	+4.2	22
8	Young Boys	18	5	5	8	-12	-13.7	20
9	Lausanne	18	5	4	9	-12	-8.1	19
10	Zurich	18	4	4	10	-15	-8.9	16
11	Grasshoppers	18	3	4	11	-20	-12.1	13
12	Winterthur	18	2	3	13	-35	-21.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.