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Bundesliga

Referee: M Hameter

LASK

S U U S S

2–1

Full-time

Salzburg

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

43%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

57%

60%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

67%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,03 xG 1,34

31% Possession 69%

11 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LASK 1. · Salzburg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	30	15	7	8	+10	+13.2	52
2	Sturm Graz	30	14	8	8	+12	+8.2	50
3	Salzburg	30	13	9	8	+18	+9.9	48
4	SK Rapid	30	12	8	10	-1	-2.1	44
5	Austria Vienna	30	13	5	12	-4	+0.2	44
6	Ried	31	12	6	13	-2	-0.8	42
7	Tirol	31	10	10	11	-10	+1.0	40
8	Hartberg	30	9	12	9	+0	-13.6	39
9	Altach	31	9	12	10	-5	-6.6	39
10	Wolfsberger AC	31	10	8	13	-3	-12.3	38
11	Grazer AK	31	8	10	13	-6	-0.7	34
12	BW Linz	31	8	5	18	-9	+3.5	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	15	9	3	3	+8	+10.5	30
2	Altach	15	7	6	2	+4	+1.1	27
3	Ried	16	8	3	5	+3	+1.9	27
4	Tirol	16	7	5	4	+3	+3.6	26
5	Grazer AK	16	6	7	3	+6	+3.1	25
6	SK Rapid	15	7	2	6	+1	-0.8	23
7	Salzburg	15	6	4	5	+8	+5.0	22
8	BW Linz	15	7	1	7	+8	+7.3	22
9	Wolfsberger AC	15	5	6	4	+3	-3.5	21
10	Austria Vienna	15	6	3	6	-5	+1.3	21
11	Sturm Graz	15	5	5	5	-2	+3.9	20
12	Hartberg	15	4	5	6	-4	-4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	15	9	3	3	+14	+4.3	30
2	Salzburg	15	7	5	3	+10	+4.9	26
3	Austria Vienna	15	7	2	6	+1	-1.1	23
4	Hartberg	15	5	7	3	+4	-9.0	22
5	LASK	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.7	22
6	SK Rapid	15	5	6	4	-2	-1.3	21
7	Wolfsberger AC	16	5	2	9	-6	-8.8	17
8	Ried	15	4	3	8	-5	-2.7	15
9	Tirol	15	3	5	7	-13	-2.6	14
10	Altach	16	2	6	8	-9	-7.7	12
11	Grazer AK	15	2	3	10	-12	-3.9	9
12	BW Linz	16	1	4	11	-17	-3.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.