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Superligaen

Referee: J Karlsen

Aarhus

S T U T T

1–3

Full-time

FC Copenhagen

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus FC Copenhagen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

37%

52%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

56%

Both score Ø 69%

67%

70%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,23 xG 1,10

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 0

3 Offside 0

4 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 7. · FC Copenhagen 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	27	14	8	5	+15	+13.9	50
2	Midtjylland	27	15	4	8	+13	+3.6	49
3	Brondby	28	12	11	5	+15	+8.0	47
4	Silkeborg	28	11	9	8	+14	+5.4	42
5	Randers FC	28	11	9	8	+9	+8.1	42
6	Nordsjaelland	27	12	6	9	+4	+8.3	42
7	Aarhus	27	10	10	7	+16	+8.6	40
8	Viborg	28	10	10	8	+5	-3.5	40
9	Sonderjyske	28	8	6	14	-21	-14.5	30
10	Lyngby	28	4	11	13	-13	-6.0	23
11	Aalborg	27	5	8	14	-27	-21.0	23
12	Vejle	27	4	6	17	-30	-10.8	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	13	11	0	2	+11	+4.2	33
2	Nordsjaelland	14	9	4	1	+15	+7.1	31
3	FC Copenhagen	14	9	4	1	+13	+10.2	31
4	Aarhus	13	7	6	0	+18	+7.7	27
5	Brondby	14	7	6	1	+10	+5.9	27
6	Viborg	14	8	3	3	+5	-4.2	27
7	Randers FC	14	7	4	3	+10	+7.3	25
8	Silkeborg	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.9	22
9	Sonderjyske	14	4	4	6	-12	-11.1	16
10	Lyngby	14	3	5	6	-6	-0.4	14
11	Aalborg	14	3	4	7	-14	-10.9	13
12	Vejle	14	2	5	7	-14	-2.7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	15	5	5	5	+7	+3.4	20
2	Brondby	14	5	5	4	+5	+2.1	20
3	FC Copenhagen	13	5	4	4	+2	+3.8	19
4	Randers FC	14	4	5	5	-1	+0.8	17
5	Midtjylland	14	4	4	6	+2	-0.6	16
6	Sonderjyske	14	4	2	8	-9	-3.4	14
7	Viborg	14	2	7	5	+0	+0.7	13
8	Aarhus	14	3	4	7	-2	+0.9	13
9	Nordsjaelland	13	3	2	8	-11	+1.1	11
10	Aalborg	13	2	4	7	-13	-10.1	10
11	Lyngby	14	1	6	7	-7	-5.6	9
12	Vejle	13	2	1	10	-16	-8.0	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.