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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia
Malaga
S T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Castellon
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
39%
56%
Both score Ø 53%
44%
61%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
5 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 17. · Castellon 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 37 19 11 7 +21 68
2 Levante 37 18 12 7 +22 66
3 Santander 37 19 9 9 +16 66
4 Mirandes 37 18 8 11 +14 62
5 Oviedo 37 17 11 9 +10 62
6 Granada 37 16 11 10 +13 59
7 Huesca 36 16 9 11 +13 57
8 Almeria 36 15 11 10 +8 56
9 Albacete 37 13 12 12 +2 51
10 Cordoba 37 13 12 12 -1 51
11 Burgos 37 14 9 14 -5 51
12 La Coruna 37 12 14 11 +5 50
13 Cadiz 37 12 13 12 +1 49
14 Eibar 36 12 12 12 -1 48
15 Sp Gijon 37 11 14 12 +1 47
16 Castellon 36 12 10 14 +1 46
17 Malaga 36 9 16 11 -4 43
18 Zaragoza 36 10 11 15 -6 41
19 Eldense 37 10 10 17 -14 40
20 Tenerife 36 8 9 19 -16 33
21 Ferrol 36 5 11 20 -37 26
22 Cartagena 37 4 5 28 -43 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,85
U
3,18
B
2,47
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.