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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Jan Morten Tennøy
Moss
T S S T S
4–2
Full-time
Stabaek
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 12. · Stabaek 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Egersund 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Kongsvinger 3 2 1 0 +8 7
3 Lillestrom 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Raufoss 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Start 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Odd 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Aalesund 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 hodd 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Stabaek 3 1 1 1 -2 4
10 Lyn 3 1 0 2 +1 3
11 Sogndal 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Moss 3 1 0 2 -5 3
13 Mjondalen 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Asane 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 Skeid 3 0 0 3 -4 0
16 Ranheim 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Stabaek
1–0 H. Vold Krohg
3′
9′
🟨 E. Danso
K. Harrison 🟨
29′
2–0 B. Hegland
T. Jakobsen
33′
3–0 B. Hegland
T. Jakobsen
38′
M. Welinder 🔁
↦ M. Cassidy
41′
Half-time 3–0
B. Isufi 🔁
↦ K. Strande
46′
54′
O. Spiten-Nysaeter 3–1
67′
B. Diabate 3–2
N. Naess
69′
🟨 O. Spiten-Nysaeter
A. Memedov 🔁
↦ K. Sorensen
75′
S. Gronli 🔁
↦ H. Vold Krohg
75′
4–2 B. Isufi
K. Harrison
76′
79′
🔁 R. E. Vinge
↦ K. Kostadinov
79′
🔁 M. Lankhof-Dahlby
↦ O. Spiten-Nysaeter
84′
🔁 K. Onsrud
↦ J. Isaksen
90′
🟨 E. Danso
90′
🟥 E. Danso
J. Ogbole 🔁
94′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
2 M. Cassidy
3 K. Strande
4 K. Harrison
33 T. Dahl
5 E. Race
6 A. Hapnes
11 T. Jakobsen
8 H. Vold Krohg
20 K. Sorensen
10 B. Hegland
Bench (9)
12 J. Sundling
14 A. Lajqi
16 S. Hoydal
19 A. Memedov
21 S. Gronli
22 J. Ogbole
24 M. Welinder
26 B. Isufi
29 M. Mayonga

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Stabaek

1 S. Rossbach
19 F. Riise
4 N. Naess
20 A. Andresen
14 M. Nielsen
28 J. Isaksen
27 E. Danso
17 S. Olderheim
24 K. Kostadinov
9 B. Diabate
11 O. Spiten-Nysaeter
Bench (9)
12 L. Gunnerod
2 K. Pedersen
5 J. Skjelvik
7 R. E. Vinge
8 M. Lankhof-Dahlby
15 O. Veum
18 A. Bawa
21 K. Onsrud
26 J. Nysveen

Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.