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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Johan William Grundt

Lyn

S T S T S

0–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyn Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lyn 10. · Lillestrom 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Egersund	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Kongsvinger	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Lillestrom	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Raufoss	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Start	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Odd	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Aalesund	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	hodd	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Lyn	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Sogndal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Moss	3	1	0	2	-5	3
13	Mjondalen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Asane	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Skeid	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Ranheim	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Odd	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Kongsvinger	2	1	1	0	+6	4
5	Moss	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Aalesund	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Mjondalen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Stabaek	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Asane	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	hodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Ranheim	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	hodd	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Start	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aalesund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Stabaek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sogndal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Raufoss	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Asane	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Mjondalen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Odd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Skeid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Moss	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.