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Superligaen

Referee: A Uslu

Nordsjaelland

U U T S U

1–0

Full-time

Aarhus

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

40%

47%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

67%

47%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

1,9

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 7. · Aarhus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	15	7	6	2	+14	+2.9	27
2	FC Copenhagen	15	7	6	2	+10	+9.5	27
3	Midtjylland	15	8	3	4	+5	+4.3	27
4	Silkeborg	15	6	7	2	+7	-1.4	25
5	Randers FC	15	6	6	3	+9	+4.6	24
6	Brondby	15	6	5	4	+8	+7.3	23
7	Nordsjaelland	15	6	5	4	+2	+4.9	23
8	Viborg	15	5	5	5	+3	-2.5	20
9	Aalborg	15	4	4	7	-12	-9.3	16
10	Sonderjyske	15	3	3	9	-18	-10.9	12
11	Lyngby	15	1	7	7	-9	-2.8	10
12	Vejle	15	1	3	11	-19	-6.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	9	5	4	0	+12	+3.3	19
2	Midtjylland	7	6	0	1	+6	+5.2	18
3	Nordsjaelland	8	4	4	0	+8	+5.0	16
4	FC Copenhagen	7	4	3	0	+7	+6.4	15
5	Silkeborg	8	4	3	1	+4	+0.1	15
6	Viborg	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.7	14
7	Brondby	7	3	3	1	+4	+3.0	12
8	Randers FC	7	3	2	2	+4	+2.5	11
9	Aalborg	7	3	1	3	-5	-2.9	10
10	Sonderjyske	7	2	2	3	-6	-5.6	8
11	Lyngby	8	1	4	3	-4	+0.4	7
12	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	8	3	4	1	+5	+2.1	13
2	FC Copenhagen	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.1	12
3	Brondby	8	3	2	3	+4	+4.3	11
4	Silkeborg	7	2	4	1	+3	-1.5	10
5	Midtjylland	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.9	9
6	Aarhus	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.4	8
7	Nordsjaelland	7	2	1	4	-6	-0.0	7
8	Viborg	8	1	3	4	-1	-1.9	6
9	Aalborg	8	1	3	4	-7	-6.4	6
10	Sonderjyske	8	1	1	6	-12	-5.2	4
11	Lyngby	7	0	3	4	-5	-3.1	3
12	Vejle	7	0	1	6	-11	-4.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.