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Serie B
Referee: J Sacchi
Catanzaro
S S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Reggiana
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Reggiana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
26%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
41%
37%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
21 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 5. · Reggiana 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 28 20 5 3 +34 65
2 Pisa 28 16 7 5 +18 55
3 Spezia 28 13 12 3 +22 51
4 Cremonese 28 11 9 8 +10 42
5 Catanzaro 27 9 15 3 +9 42
6 Cesena 28 11 7 10 +2 40
7 Juve Stabia 28 10 9 9 -1 39
8 Bari 27 8 13 6 +4 37
9 Palermo 27 9 8 10 +5 35
10 Modena 27 7 13 7 +2 34
11 Cittadella 28 9 7 12 -15 34
12 Carrarese 28 8 8 12 -9 32
13 Brescia 27 6 12 9 -5 30
14 Reggiana 27 7 9 11 -5 30
15 Sudtirol 28 8 6 14 -12 30
16 Sampdoria 27 6 11 10 -7 29
17 Mantova 28 6 11 11 -10 29
18 Frosinone 28 5 12 11 -16 27
19 Salernitana 28 6 8 14 -13 26
20 Cosenza 27 5 10 12 -13 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Reggiana
15′
L. Vido 0–1
L. Ignacchiti
38′
🟨 Tobías Reinhart
Half-time 0–1
Pietro Iemmello 🟨
48′
48′
🟨 Luca Vido
M. Pompetti 🔁
↦ S. Pontisso
58′
D. Seck 🔁
↦ R. Pagano
67′
67′
🔁 C. Gondo
↦ L. Vido
68′
🔁 A. Vergara
↦ M. Marras
70′
🟨 Cedric Gondo
73′
🔁 N. Girma
↦ M. Portanova
1–1 S. Scognamillo
75′
Stefano Scognamillo 🟨
79′
Nicolò Brighenti 🟨
82′
T. Biasci 🔁
↦ F. Pittarello
84′
N. Buso 🔁
↦ S. Scognamillo
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Catanzaro

3-5-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
23 N. Brighenti D
14 S. Scognamillo D
6 F. Bonini D
84 T. Cassandro M
24 R. Pagano M
10 J. Petriccione M
20 S. Pontisso M
92 M. Šitum M
90 F. Pittarello F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (12)
21 M. Pompetti
29 D. Seck
28 T. Biasci
45 N. Buso
4 Matias Antonini
82 C. Corradi
80 M. Coulibaly
8 R. Ilie
99 E. Borrelli
25 L. Gelmi
7 M. Compagnon
19 A. La Mantia

Coach: F. Caserta

Reggiana

4-3-3
22 F. Bardi G
31 M. Sampirisi D
13 A. Meroni D
3 J. Sosa D
17 L. Libutti D
5 A. Sersanti M
16 T. Reinhart M
25 L. Ignacchiti M
7 M. Marras F
10 L. Vido F
90 M. Portanova F
Bench (12)
11 C. Gondo
30 A. Vergara
80 N. Girma
27 M. Maggio
23 S. Pettinari
55 J. Kumi
29 O. Urso
8 L. Cigarini
99 A. Sposito
87 Y. Nahounou
15 R. Fiamozzi
77 E. Kabashi

Coach: W. Viali

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
3,09
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.