Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aberdeen
Dundee United
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | +70 | 75 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 59 |
| 3 |
Hibernian
|
29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | +4 | 43 |
| 4 |
Aberdeen
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -8 | 41 |
| 5 |
Dundee United
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | +0 | 40 |
| 6 |
Motherwell
|
29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | -14 | 37 |
| 7 |
Hearts
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 36 |
| 8 |
Ross County
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 |
St Mirren
|
29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | -12 | 34 |
| 10 |
Kilmarnock
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -14 | 31 |
| 11 |
Dundee
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -20 | 28 |
| 12 |
ST Johnstone
|
29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -22 | 25 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Celtic
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
St Mirren
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.