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Süper Lig

Referee: C Aydın

Kasimpasa

S S S T T

3–3

Full-time

Galatasaray

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Galatasaray

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,8

2,7

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 56%

29%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

71%

75%

Both score Ø 69%

71%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,4

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,38 xG 2,72

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 18

8 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 10. · Galatasaray 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	24	20	4	0	+36	+22.3	64
2	Fenerbahce	24	18	4	2	+37	+29.9	58
3	Samsunspor	24	14	4	6	+13	+10.0	46
4	Besiktas	24	12	8	4	+15	+12.0	44
5	Eyüpspor	24	11	7	6	+12	+0.3	40
6	Goztep	23	10	5	8	+12	+13.1	35
7	Buyuksehyr	23	9	6	8	+8	+6.7	33
8	Rizespor	25	10	3	12	-9	+4.7	33
9	Trabzonspor	23	8	8	7	+11	-2.5	32
10	Kasimpasa	24	7	10	7	-5	-0.3	31
11	Alanyaspor	25	8	7	10	-7	-0.0	31
12	Antalyaspor	24	8	6	10	-15	-11.3	30
13	Gaziantep	23	8	5	10	-3	-6.7	29
14	Konyaspor	24	6	7	11	-8	-7.4	25
15	Sivasspor	24	6	6	12	-12	-16.1	24
16	Bodrumspor	25	6	6	13	-12	-2.0	24
17	Kayserispor	24	5	9	10	-20	-5.8	24
18	Hatayspor	24	2	7	15	-19	-18.7	13
19	Ad. Demirspor	25	2	4	19	-34	-28.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	10	3	0	+17	+15.8	33
2	Fenerbahce	11	10	0	1	+17	+15.0	30
3	Goztep	11	9	1	1	+19	+13.5	28
4	Trabzonspor	12	8	3	1	+18	+3.6	27
5	Besiktas	12	8	2	2	+8	+8.7	26
6	Eyüpspor	12	7	3	2	+11	+2.4	24
7	Gaziantep	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.7	24
8	Samsunspor	12	7	2	3	+9	+9.3	23
9	Buyuksehyr	12	6	4	2	+15	+8.4	22
10	Alanyaspor	12	6	3	3	+4	+7.1	21
11	Antalyaspor	12	6	3	3	-1	-3.6	21
12	Rizespor	12	5	3	4	+1	+9.2	18
13	Sivasspor	13	4	5	4	+1	-6.3	17
14	Bodrumspor	12	4	3	5	+2	+0.3	15
15	Konyaspor	11	3	5	3	+1	+2.1	14
16	Kasimpasa	11	3	4	4	-3	+3.7	13
17	Kayserispor	12	3	4	5	-9	-1.0	13
18	Hatayspor	13	2	5	6	-6	-7.6	11
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-19	-12.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	10	1	0	+19	+6.5	31
2	Fenerbahce	13	8	4	1	+20	+14.8	28
3	Samsunspor	12	7	2	3	+4	+0.7	23
4	Besiktas	12	4	6	2	+7	+3.4	18
5	Kasimpasa	13	4	6	3	-2	-4.1	18
6	Eyüpspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.1	16
7	Rizespor	13	5	0	8	-10	-4.5	15
8	Buyuksehyr	11	3	2	6	-7	-1.7	11
9	Konyaspor	13	3	2	8	-9	-9.5	11
10	Kayserispor	12	2	5	5	-11	-4.8	11
11	Alanyaspor	13	2	4	7	-11	-7.1	10
12	Antalyaspor	12	2	3	7	-14	-7.7	9
13	Bodrumspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-2.2	9
14	Goztep	12	1	4	7	-7	-0.3	7
15	Sivasspor	11	2	1	8	-13	-9.8	7
16	Trabzonspor	11	0	5	6	-7	-6.1	5
17	Gaziantep	11	1	2	8	-12	-7.3	5
18	Ad. Demirspor	12	1	2	9	-15	-15.7	5
19	Hatayspor	11	0	2	9	-13	-11.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.