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Svenska Cupen

Referee: J Svraka

Orebro SK

S S S T T

1–2

Full-time

Karlberg

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orebro SK Karlberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

2,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Orebro SK 52. · Karlberg 25. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mjallby	4	4	0	0	+16	12
2	Goteborg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Trelleborg	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+9	9
6	Vasteras SK	3	3	0	0	+8	9
7	GAIS	3	3	0	0	+7	9
8	Hacken	4	3	0	1	+5	9
9	Norrkoping	3	3	0	0	+5	9
10	Halmstad	4	3	0	1	+5	9
11	Stockholm Internazionale	4	3	0	1	+4	9
12	Oster	4	3	0	1	+3	9
13	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+2	9
14	AIK	4	2	2	0	+8	8
15	Brommapojkarna	4	2	2	0	+8	8
16	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+8	7
17	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+6	7
18	Degerfors	4	2	1	1	+3	7
19	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
20	Orgryte	4	2	0	2	-2	6
21	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	-2	6
22	Sandviken	4	2	0	2	-3	6
23	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
24	Oddevold	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Karlberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
26	IK brage	4	1	1	2	-2	4
27	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
29	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
31	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
42	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Varnamo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
52	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
53	Helsingborg	4	1	0	3	-3	3
54	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
56	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
60	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-5	3
61	Gefle IF	4	1	0	3	-10	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Stockholm Internazionale	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	AIK	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
16	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Oster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Karlberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
26	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
29	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
30	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
31	Oddevold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Hammarby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Trelleborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
36	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Skövde AIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Degerfors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	IK brage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
50	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trelleborg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
13	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+5	4
14	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+5	4
15	Varberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	IK brage	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
19	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	+0	3
42	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Oddevold	3	1	0	2	-1	3
44	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Orebro SK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
46	Sandviken	3	1	0	2	-4	3
47	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-4	3
48	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	-4	3
49	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-5	3
50	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-5	3
51	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.