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Superligaen
Referee: S Putros
FC Copenhagen
U U U S S
3–1
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
44%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
63%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,70 xG 0,57
35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Copenhagen 3. · Nordsjaelland 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 17 10 3 4 +9 +2.0 33
2 Randers FC 17 8 6 3 +12 +9.7 30
3 FC Copenhagen 16 8 6 2 +11 +9.5 30
4 Aarhus 17 7 7 3 +13 +3.2 28
5 Brondby 17 7 6 4 +9 +6.9 27
6 Silkeborg 17 6 8 3 +6 -0.7 26
7 Nordsjaelland 16 7 5 4 +3 +4.9 26
8 Viborg 17 5 6 6 +2 -2.6 21
9 Aalborg 17 4 5 8 -13 -11.1 17
10 Sonderjyske 17 4 4 9 -16 -9.0 16
11 Lyngby 17 1 7 9 -12 -4.0 10
12 Vejle 17 1 3 13 -24 -8.9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Copenhagen Nordsjaelland
15′
P. Ankersen 0–1
S. Egeli
1–1 Robert
V. Claesson
41′
Half-time 1–1
M. López 🔁
↦ K. Diks
46′
51′
🟨 Marcus Ingvartsen
55′
🟨 Jeppe Tverskov
M. Mattsson 🔁
↦ V. Claesson
61′
65′
🔁 M. Iloski
↦ S. Egeli
A. Chiakha 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
73′
73′
🔁 M. Dorgeles
↦ M. Brink
V. Froholdt 🔁
↦ Robert
77′
W. Clem 🔁
↦ L. Lerager
77′
2–1 T. Delaney
M. Elyounoussi
81′
3–1 M. Elyounoussi
T. Delaney
83′
84′
🔁 Z. Sertdemir
↦ K. Hansen
Magnus Mattsson 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-4-1-1
21 T. Sander G
13 R. Huescas D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
2 K. Diks D
10 M. Elyounoussi M
12 L. Lerager M
27 T. Delaney M
16 Robert M
7 V. Claesson F
14 A. Cornelius F
Bench (9)
15 M. López
8 M. Mattsson
19 A. Chiakha
17 V. Froholdt
36 W. Clem
1 N. Trott
4 M. Garan'anga
24 B. Meling
11 J. Larsson

Coach: J. Neestrup

Nordsjaelland

4-3-2-1
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
19 L. Hey D
4 K. Hansen D
24 L. Høgsberg D
16 M. Brink M
6 J. Tverskov M
5 D. Svensson M
10 B. Nygren M
14 S. Egeli M
7 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (9)
32 M. Iloski
8 M. Dorgeles
21 Z. Sertdemir
11 M. Hansen
36 C. Yirenkyi
38 W. Lykke
17 L. Nene
15 E. Marxen
45 N. Markmann

Coach: J. Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.