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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Maae

Fredericia

S T S S S

1–4

Full-time

Aalborg

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,8

4,0

Scored

3,3

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

7,0

Scored

6,5

7,0

Conceded

0,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+6,0

+7,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredericia 2. · Aalborg 27. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Næsby	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Holstebro	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+9	6
6	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Frem	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Skive	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Brabrand	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Holbæk B&I	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	B 93	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	VSK Århus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Avarta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Hvidovre IF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Hillerød	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	Fremad Amager	2	1	1	0	+5	4
21	Nykobing FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Brønshøj	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Middelfart	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+10	3
25	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+9	3
26	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+7	3
27	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
28	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	OKS	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Allerød	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	SGI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Herlev	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	B 1908	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	B 1913	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
48	Give Fremad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
49	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
50	ACFC	2	1	0	1	-8	3
51	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
55	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
96	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
97	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
98	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
99	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middelfart	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Frem	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
10	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
11	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brønshøj	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	SGI	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	B 1908	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
60	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
61	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
62	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	ACFC	1	0	0	1	-9	0
64	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
65	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0
66	B 1913	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Næsby	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Holstebro	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+9	6
6	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Skive	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	B 93	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Avarta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Hvidovre IF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Fremad Amager	2	1	1	0	+5	4
17	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
18	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+10	3
19	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+7	3
20	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
22	Frem	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	SGI	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Give Fremad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	B 1908	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.