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Superligaen
Referee: Michael Tykgaard
Nordsjaelland
S U S U S
2–0
Full-time
Horsens
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Horsens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
57%
36%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
36%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 0
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 1. · Horsens 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 14 8 4 2 +10 28
2 Viborg 14 7 4 3 +6 25
3 Randers FC 14 6 5 3 +3 23
4 Silkeborg 14 6 3 5 +4 21
5 Midtjylland 14 5 6 3 +3 21
6 Odense 14 5 4 5 -3 19
7 Aarhus 14 5 3 6 +2 18
8 FC Copenhagen 14 5 3 6 +1 18
9 Horsens 14 5 3 6 -2 18
10 Brondby 14 4 5 5 -4 17
11 Aalborg 14 3 5 6 -5 14
12 Lyngby 14 0 5 9 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Horsens
1–0 M. Diomandé
E. Nuamah
4′
29′
🔁 M. Bobjerg
↦ M. Delač
38′
🟨 James Gomez
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Drachmann
↦ D. Kruse
48′
🟨 Malte Kiilerich
Mohammed Diomande 🟨
49′
57′
🟨 Aron Sigurðarson
M. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
61′
2–0 A. Schjelderup
67′
O. Antman 🔁
↦ R. Ascone
69′
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ A. Schjelderup
69′
69′
🔁 E. Just
↦ A. Sigurðarson
69′
🔁 J. Gemmer
↦ M. Kiilerich
79′
ℹ️ James Gomez
VAR: Card upgrade
80′
🟥 James Gomez
81′
🔁 L. Qamili
↦ S. Makienok
Benjamin Nygren ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
91′
W. Faghir 🔁
↦ E. Nuamah
92′
L. Walta 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
15 E. Marxen D
5 M. Frese D
18 M. Bidstrup M
6 J. Christensen M
10 M. Diomandé M
36 R. Ascone F
37 E. Nuamah F
7 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (9)
29 M. Dorgeles
22 O. Antman
9 B. Nygren
21 W. Faghir
33 L. Walta
27 D. Svensson
31 A. Gülstorff
42 K. Barslund
11 M. Hansen

Coach: F. Pedersen

Horsens

3-5-2
1 M. Delač G
21 J. Gomez D
4 M. Kiilerich D
17 M. Lassen D
18 T. Santos M
23 D. Kruse M
6 M. Opondo M
11 A. Sigurðarson M
24 L. Musonda M
13 S. Makienok F
9 A. Jacobsen F
Bench (9)
30 M. Bobjerg
8 J. Drachmann
27 E. Just
14 J. Gemmer
7 L. Qamili
26 S. Iyede
34 M. Isager
19 M. Hannesbo
36 A. Nehme

Coach: J. Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.