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Superligaen
Referee: Jakob Kehlet
Horsens
T S S U T
3–3
Full-time
Midtjylland
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,7
4,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
0%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,8
4,5
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
0,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

61% Possession 39%
23 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Horsens 4. · Midtjylland 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Silkeborg 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Aarhus 4 2 1 1 +2 7
4 Horsens 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 FC Copenhagen 4 2 0 2 +2 6
6 Randers FC 4 1 3 0 +1 6
7 Viborg 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Midtjylland 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Brondby 4 1 0 3 -6 3
10 Lyngby 4 0 2 2 -2 2
11 Aalborg 4 0 1 3 -5 1
12 Odense 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Horsens Midtjylland
8′
G. Isaksen 0–1
E. Sviatchenko
17′
🔁 H. Dalsgaard
↦ E. Sviatchenko
23′
P. Sisto 0–2
41′
G. Isaksen 0–3
S. Kaba
Half-time 0–3
J. Drachmann 🔁
↦ D. Kruse
46′
M. Lassen 🔁
↦ S. Iyede
46′
1–3 L. Musonda
57′
J. Gemmer 🔁
↦ M. Opondo
63′
L. Qamili 🔁
↦ A. Jacobsen
63′
67′
🟥 Henrik Dalsgaard
74′
🔁 S. Gartenmann
↦ S. Kaba
74′
🔁 V. Lind
↦ G. Isaksen
74′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ J. Andersson
80′
🟨 Juninho
James Gomez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
86′
87′
🟨 Juninho
87′
🟥 Juninho
88′
🔁 O. Sørensen
↦ P. Sisto
2–3 A. Sigurðarson
89′
3–3 M. Jensen
L. Musonda
92′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Horsens

5-3-2
1 M. Delač G
18 T. Santos D
3 M. Jensen D
4 M. Kiilerich D
21 J. Gomez D
24 L. Musonda D
6 M. Opondo M
23 D. Kruse M
11 A. Sigurðarson M
9 A. Jacobsen F
26 S. Iyede F
Bench (8)
8 J. Drachmann
17 M. Lassen
14 J. Gemmer
7 L. Qamili
19 M. Hannesbo
29 J. Beluli
33 A. Ludwig
30 M. Bobjerg

Coach: J. Askou

Midtjylland

3-4-2-1
16 E. Ólafsson G
17 M. Thychosen D
28 E. Sviatchenko D
73 Juninho D
6 J. Andersson M
15 R. Onyedika M
10 Evander M
44 N. Dyhr M
11 G. Isaksen F
7 P. Sisto F
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (9)
14 H. Dalsgaard
4 S. Gartenmann
53 V. Lind
29 Paulinho
24 O. Sørensen
74 Júnior Brumado
18 E. Chilufya
35 Charles
31 D. Ousted

Coach: H. Jensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jakob Kehlet · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.