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Championship
Referee: L Doughty
Stoke
T U T T U
0–1
Full-time
QPR
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Championship · 44/44 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
45%
52%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

80% Possession 20%
6 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 16. · QPR 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 44 27 14 3 +48 95
2 Sheffield United 43 26 7 10 +31 85
3 Luton 41 21 12 8 +18 75
4 Middlesbrough 43 22 8 13 +30 74
5 Millwall 45 19 11 15 +8 68
6 Blackburn 44 19 8 17 -3 65
7 Sunderland 42 17 12 13 +10 63
8 West Brom 44 17 12 15 +6 63
9 Preston 44 17 12 15 -8 63
10 Coventry 42 16 14 12 +9 62
11 Norwich 44 17 11 16 +5 62
12 Swansea 44 17 11 16 +3 62
13 Watford 44 15 14 15 +1 59
14 Bristol City 44 14 14 16 -2 56
15 Hull 44 14 14 16 -10 56
16 Stoke 44 14 11 19 +4 53
17 Birmingham 44 14 11 19 -8 53
18 Cardiff 44 13 10 21 -13 49
19 Reading 44 13 10 21 -20 49
20 QPR 44 12 11 21 -26 47
21 Rotherham 44 10 16 18 -12 46
22 Huddersfield 43 11 11 21 -19 44
23 Wigan 44 10 13 21 -27 43
24 Blackpool 45 10 11 24 -25 41

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke QPR
20′
🟨 Ethan Laird
Half-time 0–1
48′
A. Adomah 0–1
53′
🟨 Samuel Field
K. Hoever 🔁
↦ C. Taylor
61′
N. Powell 🔁
↦ D. Gayle
61′
64′
🔁 L. Amos
↦ T. Iroegbunam
Tyrese Campbell 🟨
75′
L. Baker 🔁
↦ W. Smallbone
77′
78′
🔁 C. Martin
↦ A. Adomah
90′
🔁 C. Willock
↦ I. Chair
97′
🟨 Luke Amos
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stoke

5-3-2
13 J. Bonham G
20 D. Sterling D
32 C. Taylor D
6 P. Jagielka D
3 M. Fox D
14 J. Tymon D
18 W. Smallbone M
22 B. Pearson M
28 J. Laurent M
11 D. Gayle F
10 T. Campbell F
Bench (7)
17 K. Hoever
25 N. Powell
8 L. Baker
15 J. Thompson
34 F. Fielding
49 J. Holland-Wilkinson
33 L. Macari

Coach: A. Neil

QPR

4-4-2
1 S. Dieng G
27 E. Laird D
4 R. Dickie D
3 J. Dunne D
22 K. Paal D
37 A. Adomah M
15 S. Field M
47 T. Iroegbunam M
10 I. Chair M
18 J. Lowe F
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
8 L. Amos
14 C. Martin
7 C. Willock
13 J. Archer
5 J. Clarke-Salter
6 S. Johansen
41 A. Drewe

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U
3,48
B ✓
3,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.