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Ligue 2
Referee: J Brisard
Rodez
U U S S U
2–1
Full-time
St Etienne
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 47%
41%
53%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
69%
44%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
17 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
4 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 5. · St Etienne 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 32 19 7 6 +24 64
2 Le Mans 32 15 13 4 +17 58
3 St Etienne 32 17 6 9 +17 57
4 Reims 32 13 13 6 +16 52
5 Rodez 32 13 13 6 +4 52
6 Red Star 31 14 9 8 +6 51
7 Montpellier 32 14 8 10 +11 50
8 Annecy 32 14 7 11 +10 49
9 Pau FC 32 12 9 11 -10 45
10 Dunkerque 32 11 10 11 +10 43
11 Guingamp 32 10 10 12 -5 40
12 Boulogne 32 9 9 14 -13 36
13 Grenoble 32 6 15 11 -8 33
14 Clermont 32 7 10 15 -8 31
15 Nancy 32 7 10 15 -20 31
16 Laval 32 5 14 13 -15 29
17 Bastia 31 4 13 14 -15 25
18 Amiens 32 6 6 20 -21 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez St Etienne
1–0 I. Balde
A. Trouillet
17′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ I. Miladinovic
2–0 I. Balde
54′
Ibrahima Baldé 🟨
55′
58′
🔁 L. Gadegbeku
↦ K. Pedro
69′
🟨 Augustine Boakye
O. Joly 🔁
↦ J. Mendes
72′
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ M. Saka
72′
R. Ponti 🔁
↦ E. Jean-Lambert
73′
73′
🔁 E. Annan
↦ J. Duffus
K. Nagera 🔁
↦ I. Balde
79′
S. Benchamma 🔁
↦ A. Trouillet
79′
89′
I. Cardona 2–1
A. Boakye
Octave Joly 🟨
90′
94′
🟨 Luan Gadegbeku
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
24 L. Laurent
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert D
6 J. Mendes M
27 A. Trouillet M
28 M. Saka M
18 I. Balde F
11 T. Arconte F
Bench (7)
30 E. Crombez
9 K. Nagera
13 C. Issanchou Roubiou
22 O. Joly
26 S. Benchamma
20 R. Ponti
8 W. Younoussa

Coach: Didier Santini

St Etienne

3-1-4-2
30 G. Larsonneur G
39 K. Pedro D
6 M. Bernauer D
3 M. Nade D
14 A. Kante M
8 D. Appiah M
20 A. Boakye M
28 I. Miladinovic M
11 B. Old M
9 L. Stassin F
17 J. Duffus F
Bench (7)
1 B. Maubleu
19 E. Annan
35 L. Gadegbeku
18 A. Soumahoro
7 I. Cardona
13 J. Ferreira
51 A. Baallal

Coach: Philippe Montanier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,18
U
3,57
B
2,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.