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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

Sirius

S S S S U

3–2

Full-time

Kalmar

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

80%

20%

Points per game

2,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,8

2,4

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,99 xG 1,16

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 1. · Kalmar 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	4	1	0	+9	+5.1	13
2	Malmo FF	5	3	1	1	+3	–	10
3	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.8	10
4	Hacken	5	2	3	0	+3	+0.8	9
5	Hammarby	5	2	2	1	+8	+3.0	8
6	Vasteras SK	5	2	2	1	-1	-4.3	8
7	AIK	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.4	7
8	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.1	7
9	Degerfors	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.0	7
10	Mjallby	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.4	7
11	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-3	+0.3	5
12	Orgryte	5	1	2	2	-6	-2.5	5
13	Kalmar	5	1	1	3	-2	–	4
14	Goteborg	5	0	3	2	-4	-0.9	3
15	GAIS	5	0	2	3	-4	+0.1	2
16	Halmstad	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	2	1	0	+10	+2.9	7
2	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.3	6
3	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.4	6
4	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.4	6
5	AIK	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
6	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.3	5
7	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.1	4
8	Kalmar	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
9	Malmo FF	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
10	Degerfors	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
11	Vasteras SK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
12	Orgryte	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
13	Brommapojkarna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
14	GAIS	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
15	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
16	Halmstad	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.8	7
2	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
3	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.4	6
4	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
5	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.5	4
6	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
7	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.2	4
8	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
9	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-5	-3.6	3
10	Goteborg	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.4	2
11	AIK	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
12	Hammarby	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
13	GAIS	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.1	1
14	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-3	–	1
15	Mjallby	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
16	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.