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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Dundee
U T T U T
1–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 23%
24%
21%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
56%
32%
Both score Ø 43%
47%
38%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,54 xG 0,60
40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 9. · St Mirren 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 34 22 7 5 +31 +13.7 73
2 Celtic 34 22 4 8 +26 +21.4 70
3 Rangers 34 19 12 3 +34 +21.2 69
4 Motherwell 34 15 12 7 +24 +10.2 57
5 Hibernian 34 13 12 9 +13 +2.5 51
6 Falkirk 34 13 7 14 -5 +3.0 46
7 Dundee United 34 10 13 11 -6 -10.6 43
8 Aberdeen 35 10 7 18 -14 -15.0 37
9 Dundee 34 8 9 17 -22 -11.8 33
10 St Mirren 34 7 9 18 -23 -3.4 30
11 Kilmarnock 34 6 10 18 -29 -14.5 28
12 Livingston 35 2 14 19 -29 -16.6 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee St Mirren
1–0 J. Westley
12′
15′
🟨 Jacob Devaney
28′
🟨 Mikael Mandron
Brad Halliday 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
K. O'Hara 🔁
↦ J. McCracken
66′
F. Robertson 🔁
↦ J. Westley
75′
A. Hay 🔁
↦ S. Murray
76′
80′
🔁 C. McMenamin
↦ M. O'Hara
84′
🔁 M. Fraser
↦ S. Tanser
84′
🔁 J. Young
↦ R. Idowu
B. Koumetio 🔁
↦ D. Wright
88′
I. Samuels 🔁
↦ T. Yogane
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dundee

4-2-3-1
1 J. McCracken G
16 B. Halliday D
4 R. Astley D
22 L. Graham D
7 D. Wright D
21 Y. Dhanda M
48 E. Hamilton M
20 C. Congreve M
19 J. Westley M
17 T. Yogane M
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
13 K. O'Hara
5 B. Koumetio
12 I. Samuels
24 J. Cotterill
28 C. Jones
27 J. Bevan
18 C. Reilly
10 F. Robertson
11 A. Hay

Coach: Steven Pressley

St Mirren

4-3-1-2
27 R. Sinclair G
2 J. Richardson D
5 R. King D
21 M. Freckleton D
3 S. Tanser D
6 M. O'Hara
8 J. Devaney M
16 A. Campbell M
88 K. Phillips M
7 R. Idowu F
9 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
35 G. Tamosevicius
22 M. Fraser
10 C. McMenamin
20 J. Young
17 J. Calvin
32 L. Douglas
38 T. Falconer
41 R. Duff
40 C. McMillan

Coach: Craig McLeish

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
3,26
B
2,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.