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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Eibar
U S U U U
2–2
Full-time
Malaga
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 30%
34%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
31%
37%
Both score Ø 42%
40%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 14. · Malaga 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 36 19 10 7 +21 67
2 Levante 36 18 12 6 +23 66
3 Santander 36 18 9 9 +15 63
4 Mirandes 36 17 8 11 +13 59
5 Oviedo 36 16 11 9 +9 59
6 Granada 36 16 10 10 +13 58
7 Huesca 36 16 9 11 +13 57
8 Almeria 36 15 11 10 +8 56
9 Burgos 36 14 9 13 -4 51
10 La Coruna 36 12 14 10 +6 50
11 Cordoba 36 13 11 12 -1 50
12 Albacete 36 12 12 12 +0 48
13 Sp Gijon 36 11 14 11 +2 47
14 Eibar 35 12 11 12 -1 47
15 Castellon 36 12 10 14 +1 46
16 Cadiz 36 11 13 12 +0 46
17 Malaga 35 9 15 11 -4 42
18 Zaragoza 36 10 11 15 -6 41
19 Eldense 36 10 9 17 -14 39
20 Tenerife 36 8 9 19 -16 33
21 Ferrol 36 5 11 20 -37 26
22 Cartagena 36 4 5 27 -41 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Malaga
20′
🟨 Einar Galilea
Iván Gil 🟨
24′
29′
ℹ️ Daniel Sánchez
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Antonio Puertas 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Antoñito Cordero
↦ Einar Galilea
1–0 Jon Bautista
Matheus Pereira
48′
60′
Diego Murillo 1–1
Manu Molina
61′
🔁 Rafa Rodríguez
↦ Juanpe
Jorge Pascual 🔁
↦ Antonio Puertas
64′
Aritz Arambarri 🔁
↦ Arnau Comas
64′
Jon Guruzeta 🔁
↦ Iván Gil
64′
70′
Rafa Rodríguez 1–2
Antoñito Cordero
1–3 Nélson Monte
own goal
71′
78′
🔁 Chupe
↦ Dioni
78′
🔁 Gabilondo
↦ Puga
Hodei Arrillaga 🔁
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
81′
86′
🔁 Álex Pastor
↦ Nélson Monte
Matheus Pereira 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
2 Sergio Cubero D
15 Arnau Comas D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
3 Cristian Gutiérrez D
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
10 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
20 Antonio Puertas M
12 Iván Gil M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (11)
11 Jorge Pascual
22 Aritz Arambarri
21 Jon Guruzeta
14 Hodei Arrillaga
19 Toni Villa
4 Álvaro Carrillo
6 Sergio Álvarez
1 Álex Domínguez
24 Javi Martínez
18 Martín Merquelanz
5 Chema Rodríguez

Coach: Beñat San José

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
16 Diego Murillo D
20 Nélson Monte D
4 Einar Galilea D
18 Dani Sánchez D
3 Puga M
12 Manu Molina M
8 Juanpe M
24 Julen Lobete M
10 David Larrubia F
17 Dioni F
Bench (12)
26 Antoñito Cordero
37 Rafa Rodríguez
27 Chupe
2 Gabilondo
5 Álex Pastor
29 Izan Merino
9 R. Baturina
21 Y. Rahmani
23 Sangalli
13 Carlos López
14 Víctor García
11 Kevin Medina

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U ✓
3,23
B
4,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,47
U2,5
1,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.