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LaLiga2
Referee: M H De Aza
Eibar
S U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Ceuta
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Ceuta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
45%
58%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,25 xG 0,17
50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 8. · Ceuta 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 33 19 5 9 +18 -4.2 62
2 La Coruna 34 17 9 8 +15 +2.4 60
3 Almeria 33 17 7 9 +18 +5.1 58
4 Malaga 34 16 9 9 +15 +6.3 57
5 Burgos 34 16 9 9 +12 +4.8 57
6 Las Palmas 33 14 12 7 +16 +2.4 54
7 Castellon 33 15 9 9 +14 +3.7 54
8 Eibar 33 14 9 10 +6 +5.3 51
9 Ceuta 33 14 6 13 -10 -9.6 48
10 Sp Gijon 33 13 7 13 +1 +1.1 46
11 Cordoba 34 12 9 13 -6 +3.7 45
12 Albacete 34 11 11 12 -2 +1.1 44
13 Andorra 33 11 10 12 -1 +2.2 43
14 Granada 33 10 12 11 +3 +0.5 42
15 Sociedad B 33 11 7 15 -4 -8.4 40
16 Leganes 33 9 12 12 +2 +3.1 39
17 Valladolid 34 10 9 15 -8 +2.2 39
18 Cadiz 34 10 8 16 -14 -7.7 38
19 Zaragoza 33 8 10 15 -14 -0.2 34
20 Huesca 33 8 8 17 -17 -0.5 32
21 Cultural Leonesa 34 8 8 18 -24 -9.1 32
22 Mirandes 33 7 8 18 -20 -4.3 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Oct -25 Ceuta – Eibar 1–0

Match report

Eibar Ceuta
Jon Bautista ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
10′
11′
🟨 Pedro López
1–0 Javier Marton
12′
Jair Amador ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
33′
Malcom Ares 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 C. Hernandez
own goal
52′
Sergio Álvarez 🟨
55′
José Corpas ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
61′
A. Garrido 🔁
↦ Javier Marton
62′
J. Martinez 🔁
↦ S. Alvarez
62′
62′
🔁 K. Zalazar
↦ G. Almenara
62′
🔁 K. de la Fuente
↦ J. Campana
69′
🟨 Youness Lachhab
2–1 J. Bautista
J. Martinez
70′
J. Magunazelaia Argoitia 🔁
↦ A. Madariaga
72′
J. Guruzeta 🔁
↦ J. Corpas
72′
75′
🔁 A. Bassinga
↦ K. Kone
76′
🔁 Y. Bodiger
↦ Youness
J. Bernat 🔁
↦ P. Nolaskoain
80′
80′
🔁 A. Betancourt
↦ M. Illescas
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
22 A. Rodriguez D
8 P. Nolaskoain D
15 Jair D
23 A. Arbilla D
6 S. Alvarez M
16 A. Madariaga M
18 A. Ares M
20 Javier Marton M
17 J. Corpas M
9 J. Bautista F
Bench (10)
1 L. Lopez
24 J. Bernat
4 A. Arambarri
2 S. Cubero
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
30 A. Garrido
5 J. Martinez
10 J. Guruzeta
3 H. Arrillaga
27 H. Garcia

Coach: Benat San Jose

Ceuta

4-3-3
1 P. Lopez G
17 G. Almenara D
6 C. Hernandez D
15 D. Gonzalez D
16 C. Redruello Nimo D
12 M. Illescas M
5 Youness M
20 J. Campana M
7 A. Ahmed F
9 M. Fernandez Sanchez F
22 K. Kone F
Bench (12)
13 G. Vallejo
10 C. Rodriguez
8 K. Zalazar
18 K. de la Fuente
4 A. Caparros
14 Y. Bodiger
3 Matos Jose
11 I. Schor
24 Y. Cantero
34 A. Betancourt
26 A. Bassinga
35 F. G. Fernandez

Coach: Jose Romero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,44
B
4,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M H De Aza · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.