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LaLiga2
Referee: M Perez
Albacete
T U T U U
2–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Albacete Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
31%
41%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
41%
38%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Albacete 16. · Las Palmas 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 30 18 5 7 +22 -2.5 59
2 Almeria 30 15 7 8 +14 +2.2 52
3 La Coruna 30 15 7 8 +12 +2.4 52
4 Malaga 30 15 6 9 +12 +2.6 51
5 Castellon 30 14 7 9 +12 +3.7 49
6 Las Palmas 29 12 12 5 +16 +2.8 48
7 Burgos 30 13 8 9 +6 +2.9 47
8 Sp Gijon 30 13 6 11 +4 +1.1 45
9 Ceuta 30 13 5 12 -8 -7.8 44
10 Eibar 30 11 9 10 +2 +4.9 42
11 Cordoba 30 11 8 11 -2 +3.4 41
12 Sociedad B 30 11 7 12 +3 -6.2 40
13 Andorra 30 10 9 11 -4 +2.7 39
14 Cadiz 30 10 8 12 -5 -4.7 38
15 Granada 30 8 12 10 +1 +0.7 36
16 Albacete 29 9 9 11 -6 +1.8 36
17 Valladolid 30 9 9 12 -8 +2.5 36
18 Leganes 30 8 10 12 -1 +3.2 34
19 Huesca 30 8 7 15 -13 +0.1 31
20 Zaragoza 30 7 9 14 -15 -1.9 30
21 Cultural Leonesa 30 7 6 17 -21 -9.6 27
22 Mirandes 30 6 6 18 -21 -4.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Albacete Las Palmas
Javier Moreno 🟨
-5′
6′
T. Miyashiro 0–1
M. Fuster
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Mika Mármol
Lorenzo Aguado 🟨
46′
J. Lazo 🔁
↦ V. Valverde
46′
62′
🔁 J. Viera
↦ M. Fuster
63′
🔁 L. Amatucci
↦ K. Rodriguez
F. Gamez 🔁
↦ A. Rubio
75′
V. San Bartolome 🔁
↦ Lorenzo
75′
S. Obeng 🔁
76′
76′
🔁 C. Gutierrez
↦ A. Garcia
J. Betancor 🔁
↦ M. Fernandez
83′
86′
🔁 Pejino
↦ Viti
86′
🔁 J. Herzog
↦ E. Clemente
89′
🟨 Lorenzo Amatucci
1–1 J. Betancor
90′
2–1 S. Obeng
90′
Antonio Pacheco 🟨
91′
Pepe Sánchez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Albacete

5-4-1
13 R. Lizoain G
2 Lorenzo D
24 J. Vallejo D
23 Pepe D
21 C. Neva D
3 Jogo D
7 A. Puertas M
8 M. Fernandez M
6 A. Pacheco M
11 V. Valverde M
19 A. Rubio F
Bench (11)
30 M. Ramos
22 L. Lopez
16 J. Lazo
20 S. Obeng
10 J. Betancor
15 F. Gamez
14 V. San Bartolome
17 A. Melendez
5 J. Moreno
18 J. Villar
27 D. Bernabeu

Coach: Alberto Gonzalez

Las Palmas

4-4-2
1 D. Horkas G
17 Viti D
6 Sergio Barcia D
3 M. Marmol D
5 E. Clemente D
14 M. Fuster M
12 E. Loiodice M
20 K. Rodriguez M
22 A. Garcia M
10 Jese F
18 T. Miyashiro F
Bench (12)
35 A. Suarez
30 A. Killane
21 J. Viera
23 C. Gutierrez
16 L. Amatucci
26 I. Gonzalez
19 S. Ramirez
7 N. Benedetti
4 Alex Suarez
24 Pejino
39 E. Pedrola
15 J. Herzog

Coach: Luis Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,57
U
3,14
B
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Perez · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.