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LaLiga2
Referee: A Morilla
Zaragoza
U T U U T
0–1
Full-time
Burgos
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
19%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
37%
37%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,71 xG 0,80
46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 22. · Burgos 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 27 15 5 7 +18 -0.9 50
2 Castellon 27 14 7 6 +19 +2.3 49
3 Almeria 28 14 7 7 +13 +0.9 49
4 La Coruna 27 13 7 7 +12 +3.1 46
5 Malaga 27 13 5 9 +9 +0.3 44
6 Las Palmas 27 10 12 5 +9 +0.4 42
7 Cordoba 27 11 8 8 +4 +2.0 41
8 Sp Gijon 27 12 5 10 +2 +2.4 41
9 Ceuta 27 12 5 10 -4 -5.4 41
10 Burgos 27 11 7 9 +3 +4.0 40
11 Eibar 27 9 8 10 -1 +2.1 35
12 Cadiz 27 9 8 10 -4 -2.8 35
13 Albacete 28 9 8 11 -6 +1.8 35
14 Sociedad B 27 9 7 11 +0 -3.9 34
15 Leganes 27 8 9 10 +1 +5.2 33
16 Granada 27 7 11 9 +0 +0.8 32
17 Andorra 27 8 8 11 -8 +1.6 32
18 Huesca 27 8 6 13 -10 +1.5 30
19 Valladolid 27 7 8 12 -10 +1.2 29
20 Cultural Leonesa 27 7 6 14 -14 -9.6 27
21 Mirandes 27 6 6 15 -16 -4.3 24
22 Zaragoza 27 5 9 13 -17 -2.8 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Burgos
Ale Gomes 🟨
15′
25′
🟨 Sergio González
32′
ℹ️ Kevin Appin
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
H. Barrachina 🔁
↦ A. Gomes
57′
N. Cumic 🔁
↦ R. Gonzalez
57′
D. Tasende 🔁
↦ M. A. Cuenca
58′
66′
K. Appin 0–1
I. Morante
Juan Larios 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 F. Garcia
↦ K. Appin
69′
🔁 M. Gonzalez
↦ Curro
70′
🟨 Iván Morante
M. Soberon 🔁
↦ L. Terrer
72′
75′
🔁 V. Mollejo
↦ I. Morante
75′
🔁 P. Galdames
↦ I. Cordoba
K. Kodro 🔁
↦ J. Larios
78′
83′
🔁 O. Luengo
↦ D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Mawuli Mensah 🟨
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
1 E. Andrada G
20 M. Aguirregabiria D
36 A. Gomes D
18 J. El Yamiq D
27 J. Larios D
26 M. Mensah M
34 L. Terrer M
14 Francho M
11 R. Gonzalez M
23 M. A. Cuenca M
9 D. Gomez F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
17 F. Moyano
19 K. Kodro
24 P. Akouokou
22 W. Agada
32 H. Barrachina
31 H. Pinilla
16 A. Radovanovic
25 N. Cumic
7 M. Soberon
2 J. Sebastian
3 D. Tasende

Coach: David Navarro

Burgos

4-4-2
13 A. Cantero G
2 A. Lizancos D
6 S. Gonzalez D
28 S. del Cerro D
12 F. Miguel D
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros M
23 I. Morante M
5 M. Atienza M
21 I. Cordoba M
10 K. Appin F
16 Curro F
Bench (12)
1 J. Ruiz
35 D. Gonzalez
15 A. Bunuel
3 O. Luengo
11 V. Mollejo
31 F. Garcia
20 M. Gonzalez
4 P. Galdames
7 M. Mejia
22 B. Martinez
33 M. Exposito
17 M. Cantero

Coach: Luis Ramis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,62
U
2,77
B ✓
2,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,89
U2,5 ✓
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Morilla · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.