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Pro League
Referee: Lothar D'hondt
Anderlecht
T T S U S
5–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
33%
47%
Both score Ø 46%
39%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,44 xG 0,51
57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 7. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 1 3 +18 +6.8 43
2 St. Gilloise 17 11 6 0 +23 +19.2 39
3 St Truiden 18 12 2 4 +12 +15.7 38
4 Mechelen 20 10 7 3 +11 -4.3 37
5 Gent 16 9 2 5 +7 +2.8 29
6 Antwerp 19 7 4 8 +2 -1.5 25
7 Anderlecht 18 6 6 6 +0 +3.6 24
8 Cercle Brugge 22 6 6 10 -5 -0.9 24
9 Genk 15 6 4 5 +1 +0.9 22
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 5 6 8 -5 -3.9 21
11 Westerlo 18 5 6 7 -6 +1.1 21
12 Waregem 21 6 3 12 -8 -6.1 21
13 RAAL La Louviere 22 4 8 10 -9 -9.9 20
14 Standard 19 5 5 9 -14 -10.4 20
15 Charleroi 17 5 3 9 -4 -2.7 18
16 Dender 21 2 5 14 -23 -10.5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Oud-Heverlee Leuven
7′
O. Gil 0–1
9′
ℹ️ Óscar Gil
VAR: Goal confirmed
0–2 E. Pletinckx
own goal
29′
35′
🟨 Thibaud Verlinden
Moussa Diarra ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
39′
41′
🔁 D. Opoku
↦ O. Gil
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Davis Opoku
46′
🔁 N. Dussenne
↦ H. Teklab
1–2 T. Hazard
47′
2–2 M. Cvetkovic
T. Hazard
52′
Ludwig Augustinsson 🟨
57′
61′
🔁 S. Schrijvers
↦ L. Lakomy
62′
🔁 M. Maertens
↦ T. Verlinden
63′
🟨 Birger Verstraete
Moussa Diarra 🟨
65′
I. Kanate 🔁
↦ N. Saliba
66′
Enric Llansana ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
69′
70′
🟨 Noë Dussenne
3–2 T. Hazard
71′
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
74′
74′
🔁 S. Kaba
↦ Y. Maziz
D. Sikan 🔁
↦ M. Cvetkovic
75′
Mihajlo Ilić 🟨
79′
Tristan Degreef 🟨
82′
A. Bertaccini 🔁
↦ T. Degreef
87′
K. Sardella 🔁
↦ I. Camara
88′
4–2 A. Bertaccini
N. De Cat
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
7 I. Camara D
15 M. Ilic D
93 M. Diarra D
6 L. Augustinsson D
13 N. Saliba M
24 E. Llansana M
83 T. Degreef M
74 N. De Cat M
9 M. Cvetkovic
11 T. Hazard F
Bench (9)
32 J. Heekeren
54 K. Sardella
79 A. Maamar
91 A. Bertaccini
14 D. Sikan
29 M. Stroeykens
3 L. Hey
99 I. Kanate
78 A. Tajaouart

Coach: Jeremy Taravel

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
16 M. Prevot G
28 E. Pletinckx D
34 R. Nyakossi D
30 T. Akimoto D
27 O. Gil M
24 L. Lakomy M
4 B. Verstraete M
14 H. Teklab M
10 Y. Maziz F
7 T. Verlinden F
19 C. Ikwuemesi F
Bench (9)
61 O. Jochmans
6 W. George
3 N. Dussenne
8 S. Schrijvers
33 M. Maertens
39 S. Kaba
21 W. Balikwisha
17 K. Vaesen
99 D. Opoku

Coach: Felice Mazzu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,70
B
4,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lothar D'hondt · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.