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Premier League
Referee: J Gillett
Bournemouth
S S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Sunderland
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
59%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,71 xG 1,42
62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 8. · Sunderland 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 28 18 7 3 +35 +29.1 61
2 Man City 27 17 5 5 +31 +19.0 56
3 Aston Villa 28 15 6 7 +8 -4.2 51
4 Man United 27 13 9 5 +11 +14.0 48
5 Chelsea 27 12 9 6 +17 +14.9 45
6 Liverpool 27 13 6 8 +7 +12.7 45
7 Brentford 27 12 4 11 +3 +6.0 40
8 Bournemouth 27 9 11 7 -2 +0.5 38
9 Everton 27 10 7 10 -2 -8.1 37
10 Fulham 27 11 4 12 -3 -6.3 37
11 Newcastle 27 10 6 11 -1 +8.0 36
12 Sunderland 27 9 9 9 -5 -14.7 36
13 Crystal Palace 27 9 8 10 -3 +7.9 35
14 Brighton 27 8 10 9 +2 +1.9 34
15 Leeds 27 7 10 10 -9 -1.9 31
16 Tottenham 27 7 8 12 -4 -11.2 29
17 Nott'm Forest 27 7 6 14 -14 -8.6 27
18 West Ham 27 6 7 14 -17 -11.7 25
19 Burnley 27 4 7 16 -23 -30.4 19
20 Wolves 29 2 7 20 -31 -17.0 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Sunderland
18′
E. Mayenda 0–1
33′
🟨 Noah Sadiki
Half-time 0–1
Evanilson 🔁
↦ D. Brooks
46′
Tyler Adams 🟨
58′
R. Christie 🔁
↦ T. Adams
62′
1–1 Evanilson
M. Tavernier
63′
69′
🔁 B. Traore
↦ C. Talbi
74′
🟨 Robin Roefs
76′
🔁 N. Angulo
↦ G. Xhaka
E. Unal 🔁
↦ E. J. Kroupi
81′
A. Adli 🔁
↦ M. Tavernier
81′
A. Toth 🔁
85′
Alex Tóth 🟨
86′
Ryan Christie 🟨
90′
Alex Scott 🟨
95′
96′
🔁 W. Isidor
↦ E. Mayenda
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
1 D. Petrovic G
20 A. Jimenez D
23 J. Hill D
5 M. Senesi D
3 A. Truffert D
12 T. Adams M
8 A. Scott M
37 Rayan M
16 M. Tavernier M
7 D. Brooks M
22 E. J. Kroupi F
Bench (9)
29 C. Mandas
15 A. Smith
10 R. Christie
26 E. Unal
18 B. Diakite
9 Evanilson
21 A. Adli
44 V. Milosavljevic
27 A. Toth

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs G
6 L. Geertruida D
5 D. Ballard D
15 O. Alderete D
32 T. Hume D
27 N. Sadiki M
34 G. Xhaka M
7 C. Talbi M
19 H. Diarra M
28 E. Le Fee M
12 E. Mayenda F
Bench (9)
31 M. Ellborg
25 B. Traore
10 N. Angulo
50 H. Jones
11 C. Rigg
51 J. Jones
13 L. O'Nien
18 W. Isidor
30 M. Aleksic

Coach: Regis Le Bris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,80
B
4,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.