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LaLiga2
Referee: E Mallo
Zaragoza
T U T S U
0–0
Full-time
Castellon
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
23%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
59%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 13
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 21. · Castellon 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 22 12 5 5 +17 +0.5 41
2 Castellon 22 11 5 6 +11 +3.0 38
3 Malaga 23 11 5 7 +9 +1.1 38
4 Las Palmas 23 10 8 5 +9 -0.4 38
5 La Coruna 22 10 7 5 +12 +2.7 37
6 Almeria 23 10 6 7 +8 +0.9 36
7 Sp Gijon 23 11 3 9 +2 +1.9 36
8 Cordoba 23 9 8 6 +3 +1.0 35
9 Burgos 23 10 5 8 +3 +3.1 35
10 Cadiz 23 9 7 7 +0 -1.0 34
11 Ceuta 22 9 5 8 -4 -6.3 32
12 Albacete 23 8 6 9 -6 +2.3 30
13 Leganes 23 7 8 8 +2 +5.1 29
14 Andorra 23 7 8 8 -5 +1.2 29
15 Valladolid 23 7 7 9 +0 +2.4 28
16 Eibar 23 7 7 9 -2 +0.5 28
17 Granada 23 5 11 7 -3 +0.1 26
18 Cultural Leonesa 22 7 4 11 -10 -7.8 25
19 Sociedad B 23 6 6 11 -4 -4.3 24
20 Huesca 23 6 6 11 -11 +0.4 24
21 Zaragoza 22 5 6 11 -14 -2.8 21
22 Mirandes 23 4 5 14 -17 -3.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Castellon
Dani Tasende 🟨
35′
37′
🟨 Álex Calatrava
41′
🟨 Fabrizio Brignani
Half-time 0–0
J. Sebastian 🔁
↦ D. Tasende
46′
Tachi 🔁
↦ A. Gomes
46′
M. A. Cuenca 🔁
↦ Valery
46′
Juan Sebastian Serrano 🟨
50′
59′
🔁 R. Sanchez
↦ A. Mabil
Keidi Bare 🟨
63′
D. Gomez 🔁
↦ K. Kodro
73′
74′
🔁 O. Camara
↦ A. Jakobsen
74′
🔁 I. Suero
↦ L. Alcazar
74′
🔁 T. De Nipoti
↦ B. Cipenga
84′
🔁 A. Garcia
↦ Barri
85′
🟨 Varo
Marcos Cuenca 🟥
90′
M. Aguirregabiria 🔁
↦ R. Guti
93′
95′
🟨 Ousmane Camara
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-1-4-1
1 E. Andrada G
36 A. Gomes D
4 P. Insua D
33 Y. Saidu D
3 D. Tasende D
6 K. Bare M
14 Francho M
10 R. Guti M
8 T. Moya M
21 Valery M
19 K. Kodro F
Bench (12)
2 J. Sebastian
31 H. Pinilla
15 C. Pomares
12 S. Bakis
17 F. Moyano
24 P. Akouokou
20 M. Aguirregabiria
5 Tachi
13 A. Rodriguez
22 R. Gonzalez
9 D. Gomez
23 M. A. Cuenca

Coach: David Navarro

Castellon

4-4-2
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
3 F. Brignani D
4 A. Sienra D
12 L. Alcazar D
7 A. Mabil M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
8 Barri M
16 B. Cipenga M
21 A. Calatrava F
19 A. Jakobsen F
Bench (12)
23 A. Garcia
26 Tincho
9 O. Camara
10 I. Suero
17 S. Ruiz
25 Ronaldo
6 M. Doue
29 T. De Nipoti
30 D. Selles
14 R. Sanchez
1 A. Abedzadeh
18 P. Santiago

Coach: Pablo Hernandez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,54
U ✓
3,38
B
1,97
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Mallo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.