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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban
Oviedo
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Almeria
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 43/43 matches
Win Ø 48%
51%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
51%
70%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
5 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 2. · Almeria 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 42 22 13 7 +27 79
2 Oviedo 43 22 12 9 +15 78
3 Elche 42 22 11 9 +25 77
4 Mirandes 43 22 10 11 +19 76
5 Santander 43 20 12 11 +14 72
6 Almeria 43 19 12 12 +16 69
7 Granada 42 18 11 13 +11 65
8 Huesca 42 18 10 14 +9 64
9 Eibar 42 15 13 14 +3 58
10 Albacete 42 15 13 14 +0 58
11 Sp Gijon 42 14 14 14 +3 56
12 Cadiz 42 14 13 15 +2 55
13 Cordoba 42 14 13 15 -4 55
14 Burgos 42 15 10 17 -7 55
15 Castellon 42 14 11 17 +2 53
16 La Coruna 42 13 14 15 +2 53
17 Malaga 42 12 17 13 -4 53
18 Zaragoza 42 13 12 17 -7 51
19 Eldense 42 11 12 19 -19 45
20 Tenerife 42 8 12 22 -20 36
21 Ferrol 42 6 12 24 -42 30
22 Cartagena 42 6 5 31 -45 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Almeria
24′
Gonzalo Melero 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Santi Cazorla 🔁
↦ Jaime Seoane
46′
48′
🟨 Lázaro
1–1 Santi Cazorla
49′
Dani Calvo 🟨
58′
Federico Viñas 🔁
↦ Alemão
62′
70′
🔁 Alejandro Pozo
↦ Arnau Puigmal
71′
🔁 Álex Centelles
↦ Bruno Langa
Abdel Rahim 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 Marko Milovanović
↦ Kaiky
77′
🔁 Léo Baptistão
↦ Nicolás Melamed
Oier Luengo 🔁
↦ Haissem Hassan
84′
César de la Hoz 🔁
↦ Ilyas Chaira
84′
Francisco Portillo 🔁
↦ Santiago Colombatto
90′
90′
🔁 Rachad Fettal
↦ Edgar González
95′
🟨 Alejandro Pozo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
5 Nacho Vidal D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
3 Abdel Rahim D
6 Kwasi Sibo M
11 Santiago Colombatto M
23 Haissem Hassan M
20 Jaime Seoane M
16 Ilyas Chaira M
9 Alemão F
Bench (12)
8 Santi Cazorla
19 Federico Viñas
15 Oier Luengo
17 César de la Hoz
10 Francisco Portillo
1 Quentin Braat
21 Carlos Pomares
24 Lucas Ahijado
7 Sebas Moyano
27 Álex Cardero
18 Paulino de la Fuente
14 Daniel Paraschiv

Coach: V. Paunović

Almeria

4-1-4-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
4 Kaiky D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
24 Bruno Langa D
6 Dion Lopy M
2 Arnau Puigmal M
11 Sergio Arribas M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
10 Nicolás Melamed M
7 Lázaro F
Bench (11)
17 Alejandro Pozo
20 Álex Centelles
12 Léo Baptistão
19 Marko Milovanović
28 Rachad Fettal
1 Luís Maximiano
31 Bruno Iribarne
38 Pedro Cedillo
16 Aleksandar Radovanović
23 Selvi Clúa
27 Gui

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.