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LaLiga2
Referee: E Mallo
Almeria
S U S T U
4–4
Full-time
Albacete
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Albacete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
31 Shots 17
11 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
17 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +4 +3.1 3
2 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.3 3
3 La Coruna 1 1 0 0 +2 – 3
4 Santander 1 1 0 0 +2 – 3
5 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 – 3
6 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +1 – 3
7 Sociedad B 1 1 0 0 +1 – 3
8 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
9 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
10 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
11 Andorra 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
12 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
13 Eibar 1 0 1 0 +0 – 1
14 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
15 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
16 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 – 0
17 Granada 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
18 Castellon 1 0 0 1 -2 – 0
19 Ceuta 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.3 0
20 Cultural Leonesa 1 0 0 1 -4 -3.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Jan -25 Albacete – Almeria 2–1 24. Oct -24 Almeria – Albacete 3–1 15. May -21 Almeria – Albacete 1–1 23. Nov -20 Albacete – Almeria 1–2 14. Jun -20 Albacete – Almeria 0–1

Match report

Almeria Albacete
1′
⚽ Agus Medina 0–1
A. Puertas
1–1 A. Embarba ⚽
11′
Dion Lopy 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
Marcos Luna 🟨
46′
D. Chirino 🔁
↦ M. Luna
46′
46′
🔁 J. Morcillo
↦ J. Lazo
2–1 D. Lopy ⚽
A. Embarba
51′
59′
⚽ Agus Medina 2–2
F. Gamez
65′
🔁 A. Pacheco
↦ J. Betancor
66′
⚽ A. Puertas 2–3
J. Morcillo
A. Puigmal 🔁
↦ Lazaro
70′
P. Soko 🔁
↦ A. Embarba
70′
A. Horta 🔁
↦ S. Clua
70′
71′
🔁 D. Escriche
↦ A. Puertas
Léo Baptistão ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
81′
🟨 Jon García
3–3 S. Arribas ⚽
82′
83′
⚽ D. Escriche 3–4
J. Morcillo
86′
🟨 Jonathan Gómez
N. Melamed 🔁
↦ A. Munoz
89′
89′
🔁 Lorenzo
↦ F. Gamez
89′
🔁 V. Valverde
↦ Agus Medina
4–4 Leo Baptistao ⚽
A. Puigmal
90′
André Horta 🟨
100′
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
16 M. Luna D
21 Chumi D
3 A. Munoz D
20 A. Centelles D
17 D. Lopy M
5 S. Clua M
12 Leo Baptistao M
11 S. Arribas M
23 A. Embarba M
7 Lazaro F
Bench (12)
22 D. Chirino
32 P. Fidel Cedillo Segura
13 F. Martinez
36 M. Perovic
2 A. Puigmal
18 F. Bonini
29 S. Dzodic
30 J. Lopez
19 P. Soko
8 Gui Guedes
10 N. Melamed
6 A. Horta

Coach: Joan Rubi

Albacete

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marino G
15 F. Gamez D
14 H. J. Garcia D
24 J. Vallejo D
3 Jogo D
18 J. Villar M
17 A. Melendez M
7 A. Puertas M
4 Agus Medina M
16 J. Lazo M
10 J. Betancor F
Bench (12)
6 A. Pacheco
22 J. Morcillo
2 Lorenzo
26 Capi
13 R. Lizoain
40 Jota Domingo
19 D. Escriche
30 M. Ramos
5 J. Moreno
27 D. Bernabeu
28 A. Velilla
11 V. Valverde

Coach: Alberto Gonzalez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,59
🔒
U ✓
3,95
🔒
B
4,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
U2,5
2,03
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Mallo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.