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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia
Cadiz
T T U S T
2–1
Full-time
Almeria
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 39%
32%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
47%
66%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
74%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 3
The table before the match Cadiz 14. · Almeria 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 38 20 11 7 +22 71
2 Levante 38 18 13 7 +22 67
3 Santander 38 19 9 10 +15 66
4 Mirandes 38 19 8 11 +15 65
5 Oviedo 38 18 11 9 +11 65
6 Almeria 38 17 11 10 +14 62
7 Granada 38 16 11 11 +12 59
8 Huesca 38 16 10 12 +12 58
9 Cordoba 38 14 12 12 +1 54
10 La Coruna 38 13 14 11 +9 53
11 Albacete 38 13 12 13 -2 51
12 Burgos 38 14 9 15 -6 51
13 Castellon 38 13 10 15 +1 49
14 Cadiz 38 12 13 13 -1 49
15 Malaga 38 11 16 11 -2 49
16 Eibar 38 12 13 13 -2 49
17 Sp Gijon 38 11 14 13 +0 47
18 Zaragoza 38 11 12 15 -5 45
19 Eldense 38 10 10 18 -19 40
20 Tenerife 38 8 11 19 -16 35
21 Ferrol 38 5 11 22 -39 26
22 Cartagena 38 5 5 28 -42 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Almeria
-5′
🟥 Nicolás Melamed
Rubén Sobrino 🟨
3′
6′
🟨 Dion Lopy
30′
🟥 Kaiky
34′
Gonzalo Melero 0–1
Nico Melamed
40′
🔁 Álex Pozo
↦ Sergio Arribas
Half-time 0–1
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ Rubén Sobrino
46′
B. Ocampo 🔁
↦ José de la Rosa
46′
46′
🔁 Bruno Langa
↦ Nico Melamed
51′
🟥 Bruno Langa
52′
🟨 Fernando Martínez
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ Óscar Melendo
62′
Javier Ontiveros 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Gonzalo Melero
68′
🔁 A. Radovanović
↦ Léo Baptistão
Fali 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Alejandro Pozo
Víctor Chust 🔁
↦ Fali
70′
Iza Carcelén 🔁
↦ Joseba Zaldúa
83′
83′
🔁 L. Robertone
↦ Gonzalo Melero
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
85′
1–1 Carlos Fernández
Javi Ontiveros
96′
2–1 Víctor Chust
Roger
98′
Víctor Chust 🟨
99′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
13 José Antonio Caro G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
14 B. Kovačević D
3 Fali D
37 Mario Climent D
7 Rubén Sobrino M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
8 Álex Fernández M
19 José de la Rosa M
25 Óscar Melendo F
9 Roger F
Bench (11)
22 Javi Ontiveros
10 B. Ocampo
23 Carlos Fernández
5 Víctor Chust
20 Iza Carcelén
21 Iker Recio
26 Victor Aznar
27 M. Diakité
18 José Matos
6 Fede San Emeterio
32 Ruben Dominguez

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Almeria

4-2-3-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
18 Marc Pubill D
4 Kaiky D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
6 D. Lopy M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
12 Léo Baptistão M
11 Sergio Arribas M
10 Nico Melamed M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
17 Álex Pozo
24 Bruno Langa
16 A. Radovanović
5 L. Robertone
27 Gui
23 Silvi
1 Luís Maximiano
2 Arnau Puigmal
36 M. Perović
21 Chumi
19 M. Milovanović
28 R. Fettal

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,30
U
3,43
B
2,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.