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LaLiga2

Referee: José Guzmán

Elche

T S U S T

3–1

Full-time

Castellon

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 43%

48%

38%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

38%

48%

Both score Ø 43%

34%

52%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 5. · Castellon 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	30	16	6	8	+16	54
2	Santander	29	15	7	7	+13	52
3	Huesca	29	14	9	6	+18	51
4	Levante	29	13	11	5	+14	50
5	Elche	29	14	8	7	+14	50
6	Oviedo	30	14	8	8	+6	50
7	Almeria	30	12	11	7	+10	47
8	Granada	29	11	10	8	+6	43
9	Cordoba	30	12	7	11	-1	43
10	La Coruna	30	10	10	10	+4	40
11	Eibar	30	11	7	12	-2	40
12	Sp Gijon	29	9	12	8	+4	39
13	Castellon	29	11	6	12	+1	39
14	Malaga	29	8	15	6	+1	39
15	Cadiz	29	9	11	9	+0	38
16	Albacete	29	9	10	10	-2	37
17	Zaragoza	29	9	9	11	+3	36
18	Burgos	29	10	6	13	-9	36
19	Eldense	29	8	7	14	-13	31
20	Ferrol	29	4	10	15	-28	22
21	Tenerife	29	4	7	18	-21	19
22	Cartagena	29	4	3	22	-34	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mirandes	16	12	3	1	+18	39
2	Elche	15	11	2	2	+17	35
3	Huesca	14	8	5	1	+14	29
4	Oviedo	15	9	2	4	+7	29
5	Eibar	15	8	4	3	+4	28
6	Levante	14	7	6	1	+11	27
7	Cordoba	14	7	4	3	+11	25
8	Santander	15	7	4	4	+11	25
9	Almeria	14	6	7	1	+8	25
10	Sp Gijon	15	7	4	4	+5	25
11	Granada	15	6	6	3	+10	24
12	Albacete	15	6	6	3	+4	24
13	Malaga	14	6	6	2	+4	24
14	Cadiz	15	5	6	4	+2	21
15	Burgos	14	6	3	5	+0	21
16	Castellon	15	6	2	7	+1	20
17	La Coruna	15	4	6	5	-1	18
18	Eldense	15	5	3	7	-5	18
19	Zaragoza	14	4	4	6	+0	16
20	Tenerife	14	4	4	6	-1	16
21	Ferrol	15	1	6	8	-15	9
22	Cartagena	14	2	2	10	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santander	14	8	3	3	+2	27
2	Levante	15	6	5	4	+3	23
3	La Coruna	15	6	4	5	+5	22
4	Huesca	15	6	4	5	+4	22
5	Almeria	16	6	4	6	+2	22
6	Oviedo	15	5	6	4	-1	21
7	Zaragoza	15	5	5	5	+3	20
8	Castellon	14	5	4	5	+0	19
9	Granada	14	5	4	5	-4	19
10	Cordoba	16	5	3	8	-12	18
11	Cadiz	14	4	5	5	-2	17
12	Mirandes	14	4	3	7	-2	15
13	Malaga	15	2	9	4	-3	15
14	Elche	14	3	6	5	-3	15
15	Burgos	15	4	3	8	-9	15
16	Sp Gijon	14	2	8	4	-1	14
17	Albacete	14	3	4	7	-6	13
18	Eldense	14	3	4	7	-8	13
19	Ferrol	14	3	4	7	-13	13
20	Eibar	15	3	3	9	-6	12
21	Cartagena	15	2	1	12	-22	7
22	Tenerife	15	0	3	12	-20	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.