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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Castellon
S S U S T
2–2
Full-time
La Coruna
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 16. · La Coruna 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 31 15 11 5 +18 56
2 Santander 31 16 8 7 +14 56
3 Mirandes 31 16 7 8 +16 55
4 Elche 31 15 9 7 +16 54
5 Huesca 31 14 9 8 +15 51
6 Oviedo 31 14 9 8 +6 51
7 Almeria 31 13 11 7 +13 50
8 Granada 31 12 10 9 +8 46
9 Cadiz 31 11 11 9 +3 44
10 Cordoba 31 12 8 11 -1 44
11 Burgos 31 12 6 13 -7 42
12 Sp Gijon 31 9 14 8 +4 41
13 Eibar 31 11 8 12 -2 41
14 La Coruna 30 10 10 10 +4 40
15 Albacete 31 10 10 11 -1 40
16 Castellon 30 11 6 13 -1 39
17 Malaga 31 8 15 8 -3 39
18 Zaragoza 31 9 9 13 -2 36
19 Eldense 31 9 8 14 -11 35
20 Ferrol 31 4 11 16 -31 23
21 Tenerife 31 5 7 19 -20 22
22 Cartagena 31 4 3 24 -38 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Dec -24 La Coruna – Castellon 5–1

Match report

Castellon La Coruna
Raúl Sánchez 🟨
-5′
6′
Yeremay Hernández 0–1
José Ángel
1–1 Israel Suero
A. Mabil
14′
Awer Mabil 🟨
22′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Vertrouwd
47′
57′
Pablo Vázquez 2–2
José Ángel
Sergio Moyita 🔁
↦ M. Jojić
61′
De Miguel 🔁
↦ N. Markanich
61′
Daijiro Chirino 🟨
63′
68′
🔁 Álex Petxa
↦ Rafael Obrador
68′
🔁 O. Mfulu
↦ D. Genreau
68′
🔁 Barbero
↦ Z. Eddahchouri
Thomas Van den Belt 🟨
72′
80′
🟨 Dani Barcia
O. Camara 🔁
↦ A. Mabil
81′
84′
🔁 Hugo Rama
↦ Mario Soriano
B. Cipenga 🔁
↦ Israel Suero
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Castellon

4-4-2
1 G. Crettaz G
22 D. Chirino D
25 J. Escobar D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
21 Cala M
6 T. van den Belt M
12 M. Jojić M
19 A. Mabil M
20 N. Markanich F
4 Israel Suero F
Bench (12)
7 Sergio Moyita
9 De Miguel
24 O. Camara
16 B. Cipenga
18 A. Lottin
2 G. Zarfino
13 A. Abedzadeh
14 Óscar Gil
15 J. Willems
3 M. Traoré
10 Raúl Sánchez
23 Josep Calavera

Coach: J. Plat

La Coruna

4-1-4-1
25 Helton Leite G
23 Ximo Navarro D
15 Pablo Vázquez D
5 Dani Barcia D
33 Rafael Obrador D
20 José Ángel M
17 David Mella M
2 D. Genreau M
21 Mario Soriano M
10 Yeremay Hernández M
3 Z. Eddahchouri F
Bench (11)
6 Álex Petxa
12 O. Mfulu
9 Barbero
22 Hugo Rama
14 Cristian Herrera
28 C. Patino
1 Germán Parreño
24 M. Bouldini
11 N. Tosic
4 P. Martínez
7 Diego Gómez

Coach: Óscar Gilsanz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U ✓
3,43
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.