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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
La Coruna
T U S T U
5–1
Full-time
Castellon
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
28%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
39%
53%
Both score Ø 60%
61%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 0
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 18. · Castellon 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 20 11 5 4 +11 38
2 Santander 20 11 4 5 +5 37
3 Mirandes 20 10 5 5 +6 35
4 Oviedo 20 10 5 5 +5 35
5 Elche 20 9 6 5 +11 33
6 Granada 20 9 5 6 +8 32
7 Levante 19 8 7 4 +7 31
8 Sp Gijon 20 8 6 6 +6 30
9 Huesca 19 8 5 6 +8 29
10 Castellon 19 8 5 6 +7 29
11 Malaga 20 5 12 3 +0 27
12 Eibar 20 8 3 9 -2 27
13 Zaragoza 20 7 5 8 +4 26
14 Albacete 20 6 7 7 -3 25
15 Cordoba 20 6 6 8 -6 24
16 Burgos 20 6 5 9 -8 23
17 Cadiz 20 5 7 8 -6 22
18 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
19 Eldense 20 5 5 10 -8 20
20 Ferrol 20 3 9 8 -13 18
21 Cartagena 20 4 1 15 -21 13
22 Tenerife 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Castellon
7′
Douglas Aurélio 0–1
29′
🟨 Douglas Aurélio
1–1 David Mella
Sergio Escudero
36′
2–1 David Mella
Barbero
39′
3–1 Diego Villares
45′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 Barbero
David Mella
49′
5–1 Yeremay Hernández
52′
54′
🔁 A. Lottin
↦ T. van den Belt
54′
🔁 J. Willems
↦ Israel Suero
54′
🔁 Dani Villahermosa
↦ Salva Ruiz
57′
🟨 Kenneth Obinna Mamah
Rafael Obrador 🔁
↦ Sergio Escudero
61′
62′
🔁 M. Seuntjens
↦ K. Mamah
J. Gauto 🔁
↦ David Mella
68′
Álex Petxa 🔁
↦ Ximo Navarro
69′
72′
🔁 Santi Borikó
↦ D. Chirino
Cristian Herrera 🔁
↦ Yeremay Hernández
74′
Jaime Sánchez 🔁
↦ P. Martínez
74′
Pablo Vázquez 🟨
77′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-1-4-1
25 Helton Leite G
23 Ximo Navarro D
15 Pablo Vázquez D
4 P. Martínez D
18 Sergio Escudero D
12 O. Mfulu M
17 David Mella M
8 Diego Villares M
21 Mario Soriano M
10 Yeremay Hernández M
9 Barbero F
Bench (12)
33 Rafael Obrador
16 J. Gauto
6 Álex Petxa
14 Cristian Herrera
19 Jaime Sánchez
24 M. Bouldini
11 Davo
20 José Ángel
1 Germán Parreño
28 C. Patino
22 Hugo Rama
13 Eric Puerto

Coach: Óscar Gilsanz

Castellon

3-4-1-2
1 G. Crettaz G
17 Salva Ruiz D
22 D. Chirino D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
8 K. Mamah M
6 T. van den Belt M
7 Sergio Moyita M
16 B. Cipenga M
51 Gonzalo Pastor F
4 Israel Suero F
11 Douglas Aurélio F
Bench (12)
18 A. Lottin
15 J. Willems
19 Dani Villahermosa
20 M. Seuntjens
29 Santi Borikó
46 Peré
27 José Albert
37 Mauro Costa
26 Íker Punzano
13 A. Abedzadeh
23 Josep Calavera
35 Sergi Torner

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,60
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.