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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Malaga
T U U S S
1–1
Full-time
La Coruna
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
29%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
45%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
60%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 10. · La Coruna 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 21 11 6 4 +11 39
2 Santander 22 11 6 5 +5 39
3 Mirandes 22 11 5 6 +9 38
4 Elche 21 10 6 5 +13 36
5 Huesca 22 10 6 6 +10 36
6 Levante 21 9 8 4 +10 35
7 Oviedo 21 10 5 6 +4 35
8 Granada 22 9 7 6 +8 34
9 Sp Gijon 21 8 6 7 +4 30
10 Malaga 21 6 12 3 +2 30
11 Zaragoza 21 8 5 8 +5 29
12 Castellon 21 8 5 8 +1 29
13 Eibar 21 8 4 9 -2 28
14 Albacete 22 6 9 7 -3 27
15 Cordoba 21 7 6 8 -5 27
16 Burgos 22 7 6 9 -7 27
17 La Coruna 20 6 6 8 +2 24
18 Cadiz 21 5 8 8 -6 23
19 Eldense 21 5 6 10 -8 21
20 Ferrol 22 3 10 9 -14 19
21 Cartagena 22 4 3 15 -21 15
22 Tenerife 20 2 5 13 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga La Coruna
Jokin Gabilondo 🟨
8′
24′
🟨 Omenuke Mfulu
Kevin Medina 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
Ramón Enríquez 🔁
↦ Manu Molina
59′
A. Moloney 🔁
↦ Julen Lobete
59′
67′
Yeremay Hernández 0–1
Mario Soriano
Y. Rahmani 🔁
↦ Kevin Medina
71′
74′
🔁 Davo
↦ M. Bouldini
Víctor García 🔁
↦ Nélson Monte
79′
Chupe 🔁
↦ Dani Sánchez
79′
80′
🔁 Jaime Sánchez
↦ Yeremay Hernández
80′
🔁 J. Gauto
↦ José Ángel
1–1 Chupe
Antonio Cordero
87′
92′
🔁 Cristian Herrera
↦ Mario Soriano
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
2 Gabilondo D
5 Álex Pastor D
20 Nélson Monte D
18 Dani Sánchez D
26 Antonio Cordero M
12 Manu Molina M
19 Luismi M
11 Kevin Medina M
17 Dioni F
24 Julen Lobete F
Bench (11)
6 Ramón Enríquez
35 A. Moloney
21 Y. Rahmani
14 Víctor García
27 Chupe
16 Diego Murillo
23 Sangalli
29 Izan Merino
4 Einar Galilea
8 Juanpe
13 Carlos López

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

La Coruna

4-2-3-1
25 Helton Leite G
23 Ximo Navarro D
15 Pablo Vázquez D
4 P. Martínez D
33 Rafael Obrador D
20 José Ángel M
12 O. Mfulu M
17 David Mella M
21 Mario Soriano M
10 Yeremay Hernández M
24 M. Bouldini F
Bench (12)
11 Davo
19 Jaime Sánchez
16 J. Gauto
14 Cristian Herrera
13 Eric Puerto
6 Álex Petxa
1 Germán Parreño
32 Kevin Sánchez
22 Hugo Rama
28 C. Patino
5 Dani Barcia
7 Lucas Pérez

Coach: Óscar Gilsanz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U ✓
3,13
B
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.