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Süper Lig
Referee: M Türkmen
Besiktas
S T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Bodrumspor
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Bodrumspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
41%
24%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
41%
29%
Both score Ø 47%
65%
29%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,63 xG 1,43
52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 12
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 6. · Bodrumspor 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 17 15 2 0 +29 +17.4 47
2 Fenerbahce 17 12 3 2 +26 +19.6 39
3 Samsunspor 18 11 3 4 +14 +11.2 36
4 Eyüpspor 18 8 6 4 +10 -1.3 30
5 Goztep 17 8 4 5 +9 +5.1 28
6 Besiktas 17 7 6 4 +7 +5.9 27
7 Buyuksehyr 17 7 5 5 +5 +6.9 26
8 Rizespor 18 7 3 8 -8 +5.8 24
9 Gaziantep 17 6 4 7 -2 -5.2 22
10 Kasimpasa 17 4 9 4 -1 -0.3 21
11 Alanyaspor 17 5 6 6 -2 +1.5 21
12 Antalyaspor 17 6 3 8 -11 -10.6 21
13 Konyaspor 17 5 5 7 -6 -6.4 20
14 Trabzonspor 17 4 7 6 +1 -3.9 19
15 Sivasspor 17 5 4 8 -7 -13.1 19
16 Kayserispor 18 3 7 8 -17 -7.1 16
17 Bodrumspor 17 4 3 10 -10 -4.6 15
18 Hatayspor 18 1 6 11 -15 -10.5 9
19 Ad. Demirspor 17 2 2 13 -22 -10.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Bodrumspor
Al Musrati 🔁
↦ Gedson Fernandes
25′
1–0 C. Ndour
Rafa
32′
2–0 C. Immobile
O. Bulut
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Z. Dimitrov
↦ C. Şen
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ E. Muçi
61′
65′
ℹ️ Taylan Antalyalı
VAR: Penalty cancelled
68′
🔁 Ü. Ergün
↦ O. Čelůstka
68′
🔁 Pedro Brazão
↦ G. Bayrakdar
S. Kılıçsoy 🔁
↦ João Mário
70′
77′
🔁 C. Dumanlı
↦ T. Seferi
77′
🔁 G. Pușcaș
↦ M. Mohammed
Rafa Silva 🟨
85′
M. Hekimoğlu 🔁
↦ C. Immobile
89′
S. Uçan 🔁
↦ Rafa
89′
94′
G. Pușcaș 2–1
Fredy
97′
🟨 Ali Aytemur
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
4 O. Bulut D
22 B. Zaynutdinov D
14 F. Uduokhai D
26 A. Masuaku D
73 C. Ndour M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
27 Rafa M
18 João Mário M
23 E. Muçi M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (10)
6 Al Musrati
7 M. Rashica
9 S. Kılıçsoy
91 M. Hekimoğlu
8 S. Uçan
71 J. Onana
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
77 C. Keleş
53 E. Topçu
30 E. Destanoğlu

Coach: S. Topraktepe

Bodrumspor

4-1-4-1
1 Diogo Sousa G
33 O. Čelůstka D
15 A. Ajeti D
34 A. Aytemur D
77 C. Şen D
5 T. Antalyalı M
41 G. Bayrakdar M
16 Fredy M
26 M. Mohammed M
70 E. Bilsel M
99 T. Seferi F
Bench (10)
7 Z. Dimitrov
23 Ü. Ergün
20 Pedro Brazão
48 C. Dumanlı
9 G. Pușcaș
95 O. Başol
8 S. Yalçın
21 A. Aslan
29 C. Hérelle
53 G. Akkan

Coach: V. Demirel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,37
B
5,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Türkmen · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.