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Super League
Olympiakos
S U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Aris
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 54%
61%
47%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
41%
Both score Ø 49%
44%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

15 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 0
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Olympiakos 2. · Aris 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 18 11 4 3 +21 37
2 Olympiakos 18 11 4 3 +18 37
3 Panathinaikos 18 10 6 2 +8 36
4 PAOK 18 10 3 5 +13 33
5 OFI Crete 19 8 5 6 +3 29
6 Aris Thessalonikis 17 8 3 6 +1 27
7 Aris 17 8 3 6 +1 27
8 Panetolikos 18 7 5 6 +2 26
9 Asteras Tripolis 19 7 5 7 +1 26
10 Atromitos 19 5 5 9 -5 20
11 Volos NFC 18 6 2 10 -15 20
12 Levadeiakos 18 3 8 7 -8 17
13 Panserraikos 19 5 2 12 -12 17
14 Athens Kallithea 18 1 9 8 -13 12
15 Lamia 18 1 6 11 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,32
U
4,81
B
9,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.