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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Heracles
U T U T S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 16%
19%
12%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
63%
41%
Both score Ø 61%
56%
65%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
2,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,19 xG 2,87
58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 12
3 Blocked shots 2
11 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Heracles 15. · Sparta Rotterdam 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 15 0 2 +46 +23.3 45
2 Ajax 17 12 3 2 +21 +11.4 39
3 Utrecht 17 11 3 3 +6 +1.1 36
4 Feyenoord 17 10 5 2 +19 +18.3 35
5 Twente 16 9 4 3 +12 +12.6 31
6 Go Ahead Eagles 18 8 4 6 +6 +11.2 28
7 AZ Alkmaar 15 8 2 5 +5 +7.3 26
8 For Sittard 18 7 4 7 -3 -0.3 25
9 Willem II 17 6 4 7 +2 -12.4 22
10 NAC Breda 17 7 1 9 -8 -7.7 22
11 Heerenveen 16 6 3 7 -6 -2.1 21
12 Nijmegen 17 5 2 10 -1 +3.9 17
13 Zwolle 17 4 5 8 -10 -12.8 17
14 Groningen 16 4 4 8 -12 -11.6 16
15 Heracles 16 3 5 8 -15 -13.3 14
16 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 -12 -0.8 12
17 Almere City 17 2 3 12 -27 -12.5 9
18 Waalwijk 17 1 4 12 -23 -15.7 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Sparta Rotterdam
Damon Mirani 🟨
15′
29′
🟨 Mike Eerdhuijzen
Juho Talvitie 🟨
30′
45′
🔁 B. Reith
↦ S. Bakari
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Marvin Young
J. Hoogma 🔁
↦ L. Milani
46′
52′
S. Mito 0–1
C. Neghli
S. Podgoreanu 🔁
↦ J. Talvitie
65′
65′
🔁 M. Nassoh
↦ S. Mito
B. Limbombe 🔁
↦ S. t Zand
66′
Suf Podgoreanu 🟨
70′
M. Benita 🔁
↦ J. Wieckhoff
78′
T. Bruns 🔁
↦ D. Mirani
78′
86′
🔁 D. van der Kust
↦ C. Neghli
90′
🟨 Marvin Young
90′
🟥 Marvin Young
1–1 J. Hoogma
91′
92′
🔁 R. Meissen
↦ A. Verschueren
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-1-2
1 F. de Keijzer G
3 J. Wieckhoff D
4 D. Mirani D
24 I. Mesík D
22 L. Milani D
14 B. De Keersmaecker M
32 S. Scheperman M
23 J. Talvitie M
10 S. 't Zand M
9 J. Hornkamp F
8 M. Engels F
Bench (12)
21 J. Hoogma
29 S. Podgoreanu
7 B. Limbombe
2 M. Benita
17 T. Bruns
5 J. Bruijn
30 R. Mantel
26 D. van Kaam
20 D. van Oorschot
16 T. Jansink
18 K. Leerdam
13 J. Žambůrek

Coach: E. van de Looi

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 S. Bakari D
3 M. Young D
4 M. Eerdhuijzen D
5 P. van Aanholt D
6 P. Clement M
8 J. Kitolano M
7 C. Neghli M
10 A. Verschueren M
11 S. Mito M
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (12)
12 B. Reith
17 M. Nassoh
15 D. van der Kust
13 R. Meissen
30 D. Tevreden
18 Metinho
19 L. Kromah
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt
14 T. Quintero
21 Kayky
16 J. Baas
22 J. de Guzmán

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
U ✓
3,46
B
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.