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Super League

Referee: G Nyberg

Olympiakos

U U S S S

2–1

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 19/17 matches

Win Ø 55%

63%

47%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

53%

41%

Both score Ø 50%

47%

53%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

15 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	12	4	3	+19	40
2	AEK	18	11	4	3	+21	37
3	Panathinaikos	18	10	6	2	+8	36
4	PAOK	18	10	3	5	+13	33
5	OFI Crete	19	8	5	6	+3	29
6	Aris Thessalonikis	17	8	3	6	+1	27
7	Aris	18	8	3	7	+0	27
8	Panetolikos	18	7	5	6	+2	26
9	Asteras Tripolis	19	7	5	7	+1	26
10	Atromitos	19	5	5	9	-5	20
11	Volos NFC	18	6	2	10	-15	20
12	Levadeiakos	18	3	8	7	-8	17
13	Panserraikos	19	5	2	12	-12	17
14	Athens Kallithea	18	1	9	8	-13	12
15	Lamia	18	1	6	11	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	AEK	9	6	3	0	+18	21
3	Aris Thessalonikis	9	6	1	2	+6	19
4	Aris	9	6	1	2	+6	19
5	Panathinaikos	10	5	4	1	+5	19
6	Asteras Tripolis	9	4	1	4	+2	13
7	Panetolikos	10	4	1	5	+0	13
8	PAOK	9	3	2	4	+2	11
9	OFI Crete	9	3	2	4	+1	11
10	Levadeiakos	9	2	4	3	-4	10
11	Atromitos	10	2	3	5	-3	9
12	Panserraikos	9	2	2	5	-5	8
13	Athens Kallithea	9	1	4	4	-7	7
14	Volos NFC	9	1	2	6	-10	5
15	Lamia	8	0	3	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	OFI Crete	10	5	3	2	+2	18
3	Olympiakos	10	5	2	3	+7	17
4	Panathinaikos	8	5	2	1	+3	17
5	AEK	9	5	1	3	+3	16
6	Volos NFC	9	5	0	4	-5	15
7	Panetolikos	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Asteras Tripolis	10	3	4	3	-1	13
9	Atromitos	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Panserraikos	10	3	0	7	-7	9
11	Aris Thessalonikis	8	2	2	4	-5	8
12	Aris	9	2	2	5	-6	8
13	Levadeiakos	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Lamia	10	1	3	6	-8	6
15	Athens Kallithea	9	0	5	4	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.